Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 2, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Rangers 2, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

DET winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Miller, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 3:31Danielson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Appleton, Johansson, Danielson, Brandsegg-Nygård · NYR Miller, Bjorkstrand, Dorofeyev, Schneider, Smits

  6. P1 4:27Shot by Fox, saved by Gibson4v5
  7. P1 5:12Goal by Durzi (Perreault, Cuylle)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · NYR Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen, Durzi, Cuylle, Perreault

  8. P1 5:36Shot by Schneider, saved by Gibson
  9. P1 5:38Rasmussen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Kasper, Johansson · NYR Gavrikov, Veleno, Kartye, Schneider, Chmelar

  10. P1 5:38Kolesar: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Kasper, Johansson · NYR Gavrikov, Veleno, Kartye, Schneider, Chmelar

  11. P1 5:38Veleno: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Kasper, Johansson · NYR Gavrikov, Veleno, Kartye, Schneider, Chmelar

  12. P1 6:39Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Garand4v5
  13. P1 8:37Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Garand
  14. P1 8:48Shot by Pettersson, saved by Gibson
  15. P1 9:36Shot by Faulk, saved by Garand
  16. P1 9:39Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Garand
  17. P1 10:35Shot by Chiarot, saved by Garand
  18. P1 12:04Shot by Perreault, saved by Gibson
  19. P1 12:33Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Garand
  20. P1 12:36Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Garand
  21. P1 12:38Smits: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Appleton, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård · NYR Veleno, Kartye, Schneider, Lafrenière, Smits

  22. P1 14:49Shot by Seider, saved by Garand
  23. P1 15:50Shot by Copp, saved by Garand
  24. P1 16:31Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Garand
  25. P1 18:32Shot by Kasper, saved by Garand
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:47Durzi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Compher, Arvidsson, Johansson, Finnie · NYR Miller, Bjorkstrand, Pettersson, Durzi, Dorofeyev

  29. P2 0:49Shot by Seider, saved by Garand5v4
  30. P2 2:38Shot by Finnie, saved by Garand5v4
  31. P2 3:00Shot by Danielson, saved by Garand
  32. P2 5:45Shot by Appleton, saved by Garand
  33. P2 6:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Garand
  34. P2 7:12Shot by Raymond, saved by Garand
  35. P2 8:11Shot by Fox, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 10:02Shot by Miller, saved by Gibson
  37. P2 11:25Shot by Compher, saved by Garand
  38. P2 11:43Shot by Kasper, saved by Garand
  39. P2 12:13Sandin-Pellikka: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · NYR Pettersson, Durzi, Veleno, Kartye, Chmelar

  40. P2 12:13Durzi: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · NYR Pettersson, Durzi, Veleno, Kartye, Chmelar

  41. P2 12:13Kasper: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Kolesar, Rasmussen, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · NYR Pettersson, Durzi, Veleno, Kartye, Chmelar

  42. P2 13:31Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Gibson4v5
  43. P2 14:31Shot by Cuylle, saved by Gibson
  44. P2 14:57Shot by Cuylle, saved by Gibson
  45. P2 15:28Shot by Raymond, saved by Garand
  46. P2 16:36Shot by Laba, saved by Gibson
  47. P2 19:35Shot by Durzi, saved by Gibson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:28Faulk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Compher, Arvidsson, Johansson, Finnie · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Pettersson, Dorofeyev, Kartye

  51. P3 2:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gibson4v5
  52. P3 8:44Shot by Perreault, saved by Gibson
  53. P3 9:55Shot by Kasper, saved by Garand
  54. P3 14:03Shot by Chmelar, saved by Gibson
  55. P3 15:31Shot by Kartye, saved by Gibson
  56. P3 16:00Shot by Kasper, saved by Garand
  57. P3 18:44Goal by Tolvanen (Kartye, Fox)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Arvidsson, DeBrincat, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond · NYR Miller, Pettersson, Fox, Tolvanen, Kartye

  58. P3 19:49Shot by Laba, saved by Gibson
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final