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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Chicago Blackhawks 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.

BUF winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Shot by McLeod, saved by Knight
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Crevier, saved by Knight
  4. P1 5:49Shot by Korchinski, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 7:19Shot by Levshunov, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 7:29Shot by Quinn, saved by Knight
  7. P1 7:59Goal by Donato (Vlasic, Lardis)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Krebs, Power, Helenius · CHI Cole, Donato, Vlasic, Lardis, Moore

  8. P1 10:32Shot by Lardis, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 10:40Shot by Helenius, saved by Knight
  10. P1 11:06Shot by Krebs, saved by Knight
  11. P1 11:24Goal by Bertuzzi (Frondell, Teravainen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Krebs, Power, Zellweger, Helenius · CHI Teravainen, Bertuzzi, Vlasic, Levshunov, Frondell

  12. P1 11:48Shot by Doan, saved by Knight
  13. P1 12:19Shot by Benson, saved by Knight
  14. P1 12:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Knight
  15. P1 14:12Shot by Dahlin, saved by Knight
  16. P1 14:13Shot by Quinn, saved by Knight
  17. P1 14:20Shot by Dahlin, saved by Knight
  18. P1 16:16Shot by Ostlund, saved by Knight
  19. P1 16:24Goal by Quinn (Metsa)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Crevier, Quinn, Ostlund, Benson, Metsa · CHI Donato, Kaiser, Lardis, Moore, Levshunov

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:56Shot by Carrick, saved by Knight
  23. P2 3:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Knight
  24. P2 4:03Shot by Quinn, saved by Knight
  25. P2 5:22Shot by Nazar, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 5:41Goal by Thompson (Crevier, Norris)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Norris, Crevier, Doan, Metsa · CHI Kane, Del Mastro, Korchinski, Nazar, Kantserov

  27. P2 6:29Shot by Zellweger, saved by Knight
  28. P2 8:35Shot by Greenway, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 11:39Doan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Norris, McLeod, Power, Zellweger, Helenius · CHI Teravainen, Bertuzzi, Kaiser, Levshunov, Frondell

  30. P2 14:13Shot by Ostlund, saved by Knight
  31. P2 15:29Shot by Helenius, saved by Knight
  32. P2 16:05Moore: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Krebs, Power, Zellweger, Helenius · CHI Cole, Donato, Vlasic, Lardis, Moore

  33. P2 16:33Shot by Quinn, saved by Knight5v4
  34. P2 16:44Shot by Nazar, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  35. P2 18:18Goal by Moore (Frondell, Vlasic)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Norris, McLeod, Power, Ostlund, Helenius · CHI Cole, Teravainen, Vlasic, Moore, Frondell

  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:34Shot by Norris, saved by Knight
  39. P3 0:39Shot by Power, saved by Knight
  40. P3 0:53Kane: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Crevier, Doan, Power, Ostlund, Benson · CHI Kane, Smith, Kaiser, Greene, Levshunov

  41. P3 3:18Shot by Helenius, saved by Knight
  42. P3 4:18Shot by Frondell, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P3 4:36Shot by Teravainen, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P3 5:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Knight
  45. P3 5:42Shot by Cole, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P3 6:10Goal by Dahlin (Krebs, Samuelsson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Kulich, Helenius · CHI Donato, Del Mastro, Korchinski, Lardis, Moore

  47. P3 8:29Shot by Greenway, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 10:55Shot by Levshunov, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 11:51Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Ostlund, Benson · CHI Greenway, Vlasic, Smith, Greene, Korchinski

  50. P3 11:58Benson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Doan, Benson · CHI Cole, Teravainen, Vlasic, Nazar

  51. P3 12:12Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Knight4v4
  52. P3 13:20Goal by Kulich (Power, Thompson)4v4+41 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Power, Zellweger, Kulich · CHI Kane, Kaiser, Nazar, Levshunov

  53. P3 19:28Shot by Korchinski, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  54. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  55. P3 0:00Final5v6