Sat, Oct 3, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
67%
19%
BUF winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:40 | 0.18 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.09 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 22:33 | 0.00 | 54.5% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.03 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.48 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.24 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.04 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.11 | 27.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.06 | 35.8% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.43 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.16 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.08 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.19 | 39.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.03 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.11 | 33.5% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 9:25 | 0.18 | 29.4% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 7:41 | 0.08 | 27.5% | +15.1 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 4.04 | 0.0 | 59:01 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:23 | 0.21 | 77.3% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 25:12 | 0.05 | 65.0% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.05 | 53.7% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.47 | 67.3% | +58.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.34 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:07 | 0.87 | 66.1% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.07 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:23 | 0.26 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.01 | 55.2% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.19 | 70.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.13 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.51 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.19 | 70.2% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.46 | 48.9% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.17 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 53.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:20 | 0.05 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 15 | 12 | 3 | .800 | 2.49 | −0.5 | 60:00 |