Sun, Oct 4, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 87% of the time.
82%
VAN winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.08 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.38 | 73.1% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.09 | 55.5% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.39 | 60.0% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.12 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.03 | 50.7% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.72 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.01 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.29 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.01 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.99 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:35 | 0.23 | 86.3% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.30 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.09 | 69.0% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.01 | 71.4% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.18 | 62.5% | +20.6 |
| W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.44 | −0.6 | 60:00 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:25 | 0.01 | 39.2% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.01 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.14 | 68.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.03 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.13 | 5.0% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.03 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.00 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.05 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.40 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.24 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.10 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.13 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.06 | 78.6% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 19.8% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.06 | 63.1% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.05 | 10.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.92 | +0.9 | 57:29 |