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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 5, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Winnipeg Jets 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Away

Winnipeg Jets

3

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.

PIT winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:58Shot by Kindel, saved by Stevenson
  3. P1 2:01Björck: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Karlsson, Koivunen, Kuzmenko, Kindel · WPG Ferraro, Vilardi, Samberg, Rosen, Björck

  4. P1 2:21Shot by Novak, saved by Stevenson5v4
  5. P1 3:18Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson5v4
  6. P1 3:27Shot by Iafallo, saved by Murashov5v4
  7. P1 4:08Shot by Björck, saved by Murashov
  8. P1 4:42Shot by Dewar, saved by Stevenson
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  10. P1 6:41Shot by Carlile, saved by Stevenson
  11. P1 7:24Shot by Girard, saved by Stevenson
  12. P1 7:29Shot by Carlile, saved by Stevenson
  13. P1 8:25Shot by Connor, saved by Murashov
  14. P1 9:11Shot by Vilardi, saved by Murashov
  15. P1 9:18Shot by Letang, saved by Stevenson
  16. P1 11:23Shot by Rakell, saved by Stevenson
  17. P1 12:29Shot by Dewar, saved by Stevenson
  18. P1 14:00Shot by Vilardi, saved by Murashov
  19. P1 14:36Shot by Ferraro, saved by Murashov
  20. P1 14:42Shot by Connor, saved by Murashov
  21. P1 15:05Shot by Connor, saved by Murashov
  22. P1 16:15Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Murashov
  23. P1 16:19Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Murashov
  24. P1 16:26Shot by Pionk, saved by Murashov
  25. P1 17:09Shot by Samberg, saved by Murashov
  26. P1 18:12Shot by Vilardi, saved by Murashov
  27. P1 19:44Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  31. P2 0:47Shot by Scheifele, saved by Murashov
  32. P2 1:04Shot by Perfetti, saved by Murashov
  33. P2 2:12Morrissey: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Novak, Girard, Korczak, Chinakhov, Kuzmenko · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Perfetti

  34. P2 5:15Shot by Lizotte, saved by Stevenson
  35. P2 5:18Shot by Lizotte, saved by Stevenson
  36. P2 5:34Shot by Perfetti, saved by Murashov
  37. P2 6:11Shot by Connor, saved by Murashov
  38. P2 8:14Shot by Letang, saved by Stevenson
  39. P2 8:51Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson
  40. P2 8:52Shot by Novak, saved by Stevenson
  41. P2 9:10Shot by Dewar, saved by Stevenson
  42. P2 9:27Goal by Kindel (Carlile, Karlsson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Dewar, Lizotte, Carlile, Kindel · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Samberg, Pionk, Perfetti

  43. P2 10:05Shot by Perfetti, saved by Murashov
  44. P2 13:05Lizotte: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, van Riemsdyk, Dewar, Lizotte, Kindel · WPG DeMelo, Morrissey, Vilardi, Rosen, Björck

  45. P2 13:52Shot by Scheifele, saved by Murashov4v5
  46. P2 15:17Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Murashov
  47. P2 17:07Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson
  48. P2 17:58Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Stevenson
  49. P2 19:00Shot by Connor, saved by Murashov
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:10Shot by Pionk, saved by Murashov
  53. P3 3:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  54. P3 4:19Shot by Rakell, saved by Stevenson
  55. P3 4:40Shot by Rosen, saved by Murashov
  56. P3 4:43Goal by Iafallo, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Chinakhov, Carlile · WPG Lowry, Ferraro, Iafallo, St. Ivany, Rosen

  57. P3 5:13Shot by Barron, saved by Murashov
  58. P3 5:36Shot by Dewar, saved by Stevenson
  59. P3 5:57Shot by Connor, saved by Murashov
  60. P3 7:05Shot by Iafallo, saved by Murashov
  61. P3 7:08Goal by Lowry (Iafallo, DeMelo)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rakell, Girard, Korczak, Robertson · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Samberg, Iafallo, Rosen

  62. P3 8:30Shot by Ferraro, saved by Murashov
  63. P3 8:53Goal by Carlile (Kindel, Koivunen)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Korczak, Koivunen, Carlile, Kuzmenko, Kindel · WPG Connor, Ferraro, St. Ivany, Perfetti, Björck

  64. P3 9:02Goal by Perfetti (Morrissey)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Girard, Dewar, Lizotte, Korczak, Kindel · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Pionk, Perfetti

  65. P3 9:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  66. P3 9:57Shot by Scheifele, saved by Murashov
  67. P3 10:04Shot by Koepke, saved by Murashov
  68. P3 10:07Shot by DeMelo, saved by Murashov
  69. P3 13:59Shot by Lambert, saved by Murashov
  70. P3 14:45Shot by Koivunen, saved by Stevenson
  71. P3 15:46Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Murashov
  72. P3 16:38Shot by Robertson, saved by Stevenson
  73. P3 19:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Stevenson6v5
  74. P3 19:41Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  76. P3 0:00Final6v5