Wed, Oct 7, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Colorado Avalanche 2, Winnipeg Jets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 62% of the time.
28%
9%
9%
54%
WPG winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:16 | 0.08 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.22 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.41 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.23 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.07 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.23 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.07 | 49.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.06 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.07 | 45.5% | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.05 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.31 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.18 | 48.9% | +56.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.04 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.12 | 66.5% | +56.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 0.26 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.06 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:22 | 0.22 | 76.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 2.02 | −1.0 | 59:13 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 25:25 | 0.01 | 38.8% | +46.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:36 | 0.02 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.03 | 44.3% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.31 | 65.2% | +78.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.01 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:55 | 0.60 | 70.3% | +66.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.32 | 70.4% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.12 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.07 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.08 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.11 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.04 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.04 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.06 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.18 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.02 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.03 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.68 | +0.7 | 60:00 |