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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Minnesota Wild 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Minnesota Wild

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Hildeby
  3. P1 0:48Shot by Coleman, saved by Hildeby
  4. P1 5:26Goal by Cirelli (Cernak, Hagel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Brodin, Kaprizov, Hughes, Yurov, Shabanov

  5. P1 5:50Shot by Point, saved by Wallstedt
  6. P1 6:02Goal by Carlson (Kucherov, Point)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carlson, Kucherov, Point, Goncalves, Moser · MIN McCarron, Trenin, Sturm, Hunt, Spacek

  7. P1 6:44Shot by Geekie, saved by Wallstedt
  8. P1 6:45Shot by Viel, saved by Wallstedt
  9. P1 6:46Shot by Viel, saved by Wallstedt
  10. P1 6:47Shot by Viel, saved by Wallstedt
  11. P1 7:29Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Hildeby
  12. P1 8:36Shot by Brodin, saved by Hildeby
  13. P1 10:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Wallstedt
  14. P1 10:58Shot by Geekie, saved by Wallstedt
  15. P1 12:34Brodin: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Hagel, D'Astous, Holmberg, Geekie · MIN Spurgeon, Kaprizov, Boldy, Hunt, Yurov

  16. P1 12:38Shot by D'Astous, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  17. P1 13:11Shot by Geekie, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  18. P1 15:00Shot by Holmberg, saved by Wallstedt
  19. P1 15:22Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Hildeby
  20. P1 16:10Shot by Shabanov, saved by Hildeby
  21. P1 17:12Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  22. P1 17:51Shot by Spacek, saved by Hildeby
  23. P1 17:57Shot by Hughes, saved by Hildeby
  24. P1 18:00Shot by Sturm, saved by Hildeby
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:04Shot by Coleman, saved by Hildeby
  29. P2 2:32Goal by Hughes (Brink, Spurgeon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carlson, Guentzel, Point, Hagel, Moser · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Hughes, Brink

  30. P2 4:02McCarron: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Viel, Geekie · MIN Bogosian, Brodin, McCarron, Trenin, Sturm

  31. P2 4:55Goal by Carlson (Kucherov, Guentzel)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carlson, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel · MIN Bogosian, Spurgeon, Coleman, Sturm

  32. P2 5:47Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  33. P2 5:57Shot by Point, saved by Wallstedt
  34. P2 6:21Shot by Hughes, saved by Hildeby
  35. P2 6:58Shot by Cernak, saved by Wallstedt
  36. P2 8:11Crozier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Hagel, Viel, Crozier, Geekie · MIN Bogosian, Coleman, Brodin, Hartman, Shabanov

  37. P2 8:22Shot by Hagel, saved by Wallstedt4v5
  38. P2 8:23Shot by Cirelli, saved by Wallstedt4v5
  39. P2 9:38Shot by Coleman, saved by Hildeby4v5
  40. P2 9:44Shot by Hughes, saved by Hildeby4v5
  41. P2 9:58Shot by Coleman, saved by Hildeby4v5
  42. P2 10:54Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  43. P2 11:10Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hildeby
  44. P2 12:27Holmberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg, Mikheyev · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy

  45. P2 14:01Goal by Coleman (Kaprizov, Hughes)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · MIN Spurgeon, Coleman, Kaprizov, Brink, Yurov

  46. P2 14:19Shot by Crozier, saved by Wallstedt
  47. P2 14:52Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Viel, D'Astous, Crozier, Geekie · MIN Bogosian, Foligno, Brodin, McCarron, Sturm

  48. P2 15:07Shot by Guentzel, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  49. P2 18:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Wallstedt
  50. P2 18:57Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Hildeby
  51. P2 19:09Shot by Shabanov, saved by Hildeby
  52. P2 19:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Hildeby
  53. P2 19:52Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hildeby
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:13Shot by Brodin, saved by Hildeby
  57. P3 2:05Shot by D'Astous, saved by Wallstedt
  58. P3 2:17Shot by Cirelli, saved by Wallstedt
  59. P3 2:48Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  60. P3 3:49Shot by Brink, saved by Hildeby
  61. P3 5:38Shot by Coleman, saved by Hildeby
  62. P3 6:24Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  63. P3 7:21Shot by Hagel, saved by Wallstedt
  64. P3 7:56Shot by Boldy, saved by Hildeby
  65. P3 8:56Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Wallstedt
  66. P3 10:45Shot by Hagel, saved by Wallstedt
  67. P3 11:01Shot by Crozier, saved by Wallstedt
  68. P3 11:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Wallstedt
  69. P3 11:36Shot by McCarron, saved by Hildeby
  70. P3 12:59Shot by Carlson, saved by Wallstedt
  71. P3 13:35Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Hildeby
  72. P3 14:24Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Wallstedt
  73. P3 15:33Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hildeby
  74. P3 15:52Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Hildeby
  75. P3 16:49Shot by Boldy, saved by Hildeby
  76. P3 16:54Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hildeby
  77. P3 17:35Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Hildeby
  78. P3 19:05Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Hildeby5v6
  79. P3 19:41Shot by Shabanov, saved by Hildeby5v6
  80. P3 19:42Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Hildeby5v6
  81. P3 19:54Shot by Boldy, saved by Hildeby5v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  83. P3 0:00Final5v6