Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
57%
28%
TBL winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–Boldy | Kaprizov–Yurov–Shabanov | Foligno–Hartman–Brink | Coleman–Eriksson Ek–Boldy | McCarron–Trenin–Sturm | Foligno–McCarron–Sturm | Coleman–Hartman–Shabanov | Trenin–Brink–Yurov | Hartman–Trenin–Brink | Spurgeon–Hughes | Bogosian–Brodin | Hunt–Spacek | Brodin–Hughes | Hughes–Spacek | Brodin–Hunt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girgensons–Holmberg–Mikheyev | 5:450.27–0.18 | 3:420.02–0.30 | 6:000.14–0.13 | 0:530.01–0.09 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.24 | 0:570.15–0.03 | ||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | 2:250.19–0.02 | 2:490.24–0.07 | 1:390.22–0.00 | 4:090.42–0.55 | 5:000.33–0.05 | 0:370.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 5:130.10–0.07 | 1:030.48–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.07 | 3:580.50–0.19 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:520.07–0.06 | |||||||||
| Hagel–Viel–Geekie | 0:530.00–0.14 | 0:470.63–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.14 | 1:170.63–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Guentzel–Viel–Geekie | 0:560.10–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kucherov–Viel–Geekie | 0:330.00–0.25 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.25 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Hagel | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:010.03–0.00 | 1:050.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Holmberg–Mikheyev | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Crozier | 1:470.00–0.14 | 3:480.02–0.07 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:050.48–0.00 | 4:360.00–0.21 | 4:370.52–0.19 | 1:130.07–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.06 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 5:480.13–0.18 | 1:040.07–0.00 | 2:420.00–0.26 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 5:380.13–0.09 | 2:170.01–0.09 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:520.07–0.24 | |||||||
| Carlson–Moser | 2:490.19–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 1:450.24–0.06 | 1:400.22–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 5:000.42–0.61 | 3:390.23–0.07 | 0:420.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Hedman–Crozier | 0:470.63–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.26 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 2:310.03–0.44 | 2:330.63–0.03 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:470.15–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:560.30–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:480.30–0.00 | ||||||||||
| McDonagh–Carlson | 0:510.03–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Quinn HughesMIN | 22 | 32:36 | 1:29 | 2:46 | 4 | 1 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 26 | 24:54 | 0:57 | 2:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 19 | 23:07 | 1:13 | 2:11 | 5 | 0 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 26 | 23:00 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 22:55 | 1:05 | 1:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 20 | 22:14 | 1:07 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 20 | 21:16 | 1:04 | 2:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 22 | 21:12 | 0:58 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 22 | 21:02 | 0:57 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 20:55 | 1:06 | 2:40 | 4 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 24 | 19:32 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 3 | 4 |
 Zach BogosianMIN | 26 | 19:29 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 19:25 | 0:55 | 1:58 | 4 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 17:34 | 0:55 | 1:45 | 6 | 1 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 19 | 17:16 | 0:55 | 2:00 | 3 | 5 |
 John CarlsonTBL | 19 | 16:48 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 6 | 0 |
 Maxim ShabanovMIN | 15 | 16:36 | 1:06 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 18 | 16:12 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 5 | 1 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 15 | 16:04 | 1:04 | 1:50 | 1 | 2 |
 Ilya MikheyevTBL | 17 | 15:08 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 18 | 14:26 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Blake ColemanMIN | 17 | 14:20 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 16 | 14:02 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 17 | 13:21 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Yakov TreninMIN | 14 | 12:47 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 16 | 12:04 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Bobby BrinkMIN | 15 | 12:01 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Danila YurovMIN | 15 | 11:23 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 14 | 11:15 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 3 | 0 |
 Nico SturmMIN | 13 | 10:56 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 13 | 10:54 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Michael McCarronMIN | 12 | 10:50 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 13 | 10:30 | 0:48 | 2:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Daemon HuntMIN | 15 | 10:03 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |
 Jeffrey VielTBL | 10 | 8:23 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 David SpacekMIN | 14 | 8:23 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |