Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
56%
29%
TBL winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Quinn HughesD · #43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32:36 | 0.07 | 54.3% | +26.8 |
 Jared SpurgeonD · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:54 | 0.05 | 60.8% | +13.3 |
 Kirill KaprizovLW · #97 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:07 | 0.00 | 52.4% | +13.5 |
 Jonas BrodinD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:00 | 0.01 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt BoldyLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.39 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Joel Eriksson EkC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:16 | 0.67 | 68.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.10 | 22.4% | 0.0 |
 Maxim ShabanovRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.44 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 0.57 | 44.5% | +13.5 |
 Yakov TreninC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.13 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 Bobby BrinkRW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.02 | 17.8% | +13.3 |
 Danila YurovRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:23 | 0.00 | 76.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan HartmanRW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.03 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 Nico SturmC · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.16 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.27 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Michael McCarronC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.13 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Daemon HuntD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 David SpacekD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.03 | 8.3% | 0.0 |
 Jesper Wallstedt#30 | L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 4.00 | +1.0 | 59:03 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:55 | 0.59 | 73.2% | +13.6 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.28 | 53.0% | +12.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.11 | 58.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.35 | 54.7% | +23.6 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.09 | 68.5% | +13.6 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:25 | 0.51 | 63.6% | +13.6 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.18 | 57.4% | +11.7 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.01 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16:48 | 0.50 | 50.8% | +23.6 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.19 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.06 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.04 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.07 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.21 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.02 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:30 | 0.26 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Jeffrey VielLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:23 | 0.52 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.08 | +1.1 | 59:37 |