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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 9, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Rangers 1, Washington Capitals 3

Away

New York Rangers

1

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 71% of the time.

WSH winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Liljegren, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Dubois, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:36Leonard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Jenner, Fehérváry, Sourdif, Leonard, Hutson · NYR Zibanejad, Schneider, Lafrenière, Perreault, Smits

  5. P1 2:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  6. P1 3:10Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson4v5
  7. P1 3:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Thompson4v5
  8. P1 4:10Shot by Jenner, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 4:14Shot by Jenner, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 4:47Shot by Smits, saved by Thompson
  11. P1 5:29Shot by Chychrun, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 9:24McIlrath: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH McIlrath, Kyrou, Protas, Hutson, Protas · NYR Bjorkstrand, Pettersson, Durzi, Chmelar, Beaudoin

  13. P1 10:17Goal by Lafrenière (Miller, Dorofeyev)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Tuch, Chychrun, Fehérváry, Protas · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Dorofeyev, Lafrenière

  14. P1 10:34Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Thompson
  15. P1 10:59Shot by Hutson, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 12:27Shot by Sourdif, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 12:43Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 15:06Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 16:05Beaudoin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH McIlrath, Jenner, Sourdif, Leonard, Hutson · NYR Bjorkstrand, Pettersson, Durzi, Chmelar, Beaudoin

  20. P1 16:33Shot by Strome, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  21. P1 17:03Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 0:49Shot by Strome, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 1:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 5:06Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Thompson
  28. P2 6:08Goal by Liljegren (Strome, Leonard)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Jenner, Strome, Chychrun, Liljegren, Leonard · NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Dorofeyev, Kartye, Smits

  29. P2 6:50Miller: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Liljegren, Fehérváry · NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault

  30. P2 7:11Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Thompson5v4
  31. P2 9:00Shot by Hutson, saved by Garand
  32. P2 9:54Shot by Sourdif, saved by Garand
  33. P2 10:08Shot by Tuch, saved by Garand
  34. P2 10:52Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 15:53Shot by Strome, saved by Garand
  36. P2 17:17Shot by Beaudoin, saved by Thompson
  37. P2 17:38Goal by Jenner, unassisted+29 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Jenner, Desharnais, Fehérváry, Sourdif, Leonard · NYR Bjorkstrand, Gavrikov, Fox, Chmelar, Beaudoin

  38. P2 17:45Shot by Kartye, saved by Thompson
  39. P2 17:56Shot by Leonard, saved by Garand
  40. P2 17:57Jenner: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Jenner, Fehérváry, Sourdif, Leonard, Hutson · NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Dorofeyev, Kartye

  41. P2 18:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Thompson4v5
  42. P2 19:07Shot by Cuylle, saved by Thompson4v5
  43. P2 19:29Shot by Chychrun, saved by Garand4v5
  44. P2 19:31Shot by Protas, saved by Garand4v5
  45. P2 19:39Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Thompson4v5
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:40Shot by Perreault, saved by Thompson
  49. P3 1:23Shot by Chychrun, saved by Garand
  50. P3 1:38Shot by Pettersson, saved by Thompson
  51. P3 3:56Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Thompson
  52. P3 3:57Shot by Laba, saved by Thompson
  53. P3 4:02Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Thompson
  54. P3 4:25Shot by Wilson, saved by Garand
  55. P3 4:31Fox: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Tuch, Chychrun, Dubois, Fehérváry · NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault

  56. P3 5:01Shot by Strome, saved by Garand5v4
  57. P3 5:54Shot by Leonard, saved by Garand5v4
  58. P3 10:23Shot by Perreault, saved by Thompson
  59. P3 10:38Shot by Perreault, saved by Thompson
  60. P3 19:59Goal by Wilson (Desharnais)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Tuch, Dubois, Desharnais, Fehérváry · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Dorofeyev, Lafrenière, Perreault

  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final