Fri, Oct 9, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
New York Rangers 1, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
WSH winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.00 | 53.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.05 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:33 | 0.83 | 52.6% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.01 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.19 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.35 | 61.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.09 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.34 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.05 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.15 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.13 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.16 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.05 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.03 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.11 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 1.62 | +0.6 | 28:20 | |
| L | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 1.29 | +0.3 | 29:45 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 26:53 | 0.39 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:57 | 0.22 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.98 | 41.5% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 48.8% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:25 | 0.14 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.09 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.06 | 54.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.11 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.29 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:20 | 0.39 | 78.1% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.16 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.21 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:37 | 0.30 | 72.7% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.48 | 80.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.00 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:59 | 0.00 | 79.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.57 | +1.6 | 60:00 |