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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 11, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

Philadelphia Flyers

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 82% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Jankowski, saved by Woll
  3. P1 3:18Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Woll
  4. P1 4:17Shot by Dvorak, saved by Kochetkov
  5. P1 5:05Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Woll
  6. P1 5:42Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  7. P1 6:22Shot by Tippett, saved by Kochetkov
  8. P1 7:57Shot by Drysdale, saved by Kochetkov
  9. P1 8:21Shot by Hall, saved by Woll
  10. P1 8:31Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Woll
  11. P1 9:05Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Kochetkov
  12. P1 9:59Shot by Sanheim, saved by Kochetkov
  13. P1 11:59Bonk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Bunting, Zegras, Bonk, Michkov · CAR Reilly, Gostisbehere, Carrier, Aho, Svechnikov

  14. P1 12:12Shot by Blake, saved by Woll4v5
  15. P1 13:59Shot by Blake, saved by Woll
  16. P1 14:00Shot by Blake, saved by Woll
  17. P1 14:01Shot by Aho, saved by Woll
  18. P1 14:37Bonk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Foerster, Barkey, Bonk · CAR Hall, Walker, Miller, Stankoven, Blake

  19. P1 17:12Carrier: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Bunting, Benoit, Zegras, Jiricek, Barkey, Michkov · CAR Martinook, Slavin, Carrier, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi

  20. P1 19:10Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:10Shot by Seeler, saved by Kochetkov
  24. P2 0:33Shot by Foerster, saved by Kochetkov
  25. P2 1:11Carrier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Zegras, Foerster, Barkey · CAR Reilly, Gostisbehere, Carrier, Aho, Svechnikov

  26. P2 1:28Shot by Tippett, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  27. P2 2:13Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll5v4
  28. P2 3:22Shot by Tippett, saved by Kochetkov
  29. P2 3:44Shot by Bonk, saved by Kochetkov
  30. P2 6:27Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  31. P2 8:56Shot by Dvorak, saved by Kochetkov
  32. P2 9:50Shot by Blake, saved by Woll
  33. P2 10:16Goal by Svechnikov (Walker)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Bunting, Zegras, Bonk, Michkov · CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Walker, Svechnikov, Stankoven

  34. P2 12:44Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  35. P2 13:21Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Woll
  36. P2 13:45Goal by Gostisbehere (Aho, Carrier)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Bunting, Zegras, Bonk, Michkov · CAR Reilly, Gostisbehere, Carrier, Aho, Svechnikov

  37. P2 15:26Goal by Dvorak (Seeler, Barkey)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Drysdale, Foerster, Barkey · CAR Jankowski, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Miller

  38. P2 16:54Goal by Aho (Carrier, Svechnikov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, Zegras, Bonk · CAR Reilly, Gostisbehere, Carrier, Aho, Svechnikov

  39. P2 19:40Shot by Ehlers, saved by Woll
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:19Shot by Couturier, saved by Kochetkov
  43. P3 1:36Shot by Bunting, saved by Kochetkov
  44. P3 2:51Shot by Cates, saved by Kochetkov
  45. P3 4:20Shot by Bonk, saved by Kochetkov
  46. P3 5:35Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll
  47. P3 6:07Shot by Cates, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P3 6:29Svechnikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Cates, Bonk, Michkov, Martone · CAR Reilly, Gostisbehere, Carrier, Aho, Svechnikov

  49. P3 6:36Shot by Jiricek, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  50. P3 8:07Shot by Miller, saved by Woll5v4
  51. P3 9:11Shot by Hall, saved by Woll
  52. P3 10:11Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  53. P3 10:18Foerster: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Drysdale, Foerster, Barkey · CAR Slavin, Carrier, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  54. P3 12:10Shot by Stankoven, saved by Woll4v5
  55. P3 12:37Shot by Ehlers, saved by Woll
  56. P3 12:39Shot by Hall, saved by Woll
  57. P3 12:59Shot by Ehlers, saved by Woll
  58. P3 15:09Goal by Jankowski (Martinook, Chatfield)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Drysdale, Foerster, Barkey · CAR Jankowski, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield

  59. P3 15:44Sanheim: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Tippett, Zegras, Jiricek, Martone · CAR Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield, Blake

  60. P3 17:42Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Woll4v5
  61. P3 18:21Shot by Zegras, saved by Kochetkov
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final