Sun, Oct 11, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 82% of the time.
12%
75%
PHI winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.08 | 55.9% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.07 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 60.5% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:25 | 0.73 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.07 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.54 | 92.7% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.30 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.23 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.16 | 81.3% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.04 | 93.0% | +35.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.45 | 54.5% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.38 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.01 | 48.6% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.23 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.05 | 68.5% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.11 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.02 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.01 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.55 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:21 | 0.24 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.10 | 48.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.04 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.05 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.08 | 25.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.07 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.09 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.10 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.05 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 31.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.12 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.19 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.05 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.21 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.06 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.01 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.09 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.48 | −0.5 | 59:50 |