Tue, Oct 13, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Boston Bruins 6, San Jose Sharks 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 28 | 29 | 29 | 626 |
| SJS | 17 | 118 | 113 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:55BOSFraser MintenAssists: Casey Mittelstadt, Nikita Zadorov · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 15:29SJSJacob TroubaAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Dmitry Orlov · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 18:43BOSCharlie McAvoyAssists: JJ Peterka · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–1
- P2 5:48SJSIvar StenbergPPAssists: Macklin Celebrini, Dmitry Orlov · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–2
- P2 8:42BOSMatthew PoitrasAssists: Mark Kastelic, Morgan Geekie · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 19:57BOSPavel ZachaGWGAssists: Morgan Geekie, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–2
- P3 5:04SJSMacklin CelebriniPPAssists: Ivar Stenberg, Will Smith · Snap, 0.06 xG4–3
- P3 11:47BOSFraser MintenAssists: Marat Khusnutdinov, Mason Lohrei · Tip-in, 0.10 xG5–3
- P3 18:18BOSWill BorgenENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.23 xG6–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:44BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:27BOSNikita Zadorov: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:47BOSNikita Zadorov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 12:01SJSIvar Stenberg: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:28SJSJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:28BOSFraser Minten: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:59SJSWill Smith: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:53BOSJames Hagens: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 6:40SJSDarnell Nurse: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:40BOSNikita Zadorov: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Mittelstadt – Hagens8:06
xG 0.31–0.18 (64%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Poitras7:56
xG 0.23–0.17 (58%)attempts 3–8goals 1–0
- Peterka – Khusnutdinov – Minten9:52
xG 0.57–0.60 (49%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Geekie13:16
xG 0.46–0.52 (47%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – McAvoy16:11
xG 0.88–0.59 (60%)attempts 15–15goals 2–0
- Lohrei – Brunet9:38
xG 0.23–0.28 (45%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Borgen14:53
xG 0.60–0.73 (45%)attempts 11–20goals 2–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Wennberg – Marchment10:36
xG 0.33–0.20 (62%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Smith – Celebrini – Chernyshov11:28
xG 0.37–0.33 (53%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Ostapchuk – Graf7:02
xG 0.31–0.51 (38%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Sherwood – Misa – Stenberg8:19
xG 0.09–0.59 (14%)attempts 4–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Kesselring – Dickinson3:21
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Trouba – Dickinson13:48
xG 0.42–0.39 (51%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Nurse – Kesselring11:22
xG 0.27–0.44 (38%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).