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Ice Lab
Age
29
Shoots
Right
Height
185 cm
Weight
89 kg
Born
Saskatoon, CAN
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 4 seasons

Games
16
Goals
2
Points
3
TOI per game
11:18
xGF% (5v5)
45.0%
Goals above expected
+0.3

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2020–21ARI15123−211:05156.7%12.453.0%
2021–22SJS29022−1610:31240.0%02.138.6%
2022–23VAN11123+312:50156.7%02.050.2%
2022–23CBJ16213−411:181216.7%01.745.0%
2022–23All teams27336−111:562711.1%03.647.1%
After a break: 2025–26PHI500008:520–00.227.7%
Total5 teams764711−1911:01666.1%18.344.8%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
0.10.150.20.250.310111213141516
9m10m11m12m13m14m10111213141516Game

Player card

How 4 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

3rd percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.299th pct
  • Assists /600.5011th pct
  • ixG /600.5920th pct
  • Goals above expected−4.325th pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)44.8%17th pct
  • CF% (5v5)44.8%12th pct
  • Relative xGF%−3.519th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.369th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game11:0117th pct
  • PP time share17.0%44th pct
  • Offensive zone starts61.6%68th pct
  • Quality of competition23.0%11th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Pederson wins the draw over 4 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 749+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.7%

171–180 · below the 749 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

48.1%

Opponents won 49.4% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.6% against them.

Wins above average

−7

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

5.7

351 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

47%76 · +1.146%46 · +6.141%76 · +2.658%12 · +0.862%13 · +0.771%7 · −0.875%12 · +1.042%33 · +1.053%76 · +4.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone42.6% 52–70
  • Neutral zone54.2% 65–55
  • Defensive zone49.5% 54–55

By strength

  • Even strength48.9% 158–165
  • Power play47.4% 9–10
  • Shorthanded44.4% 4–5

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +9 after a win, −21 after a loss. Each win was worth 2.5 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–217850.0%49.5%
2021–229643.8%43.1%
2022–2315051.3%50.4%
2025–262748.1%49.1%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+0.3 goals above expected

00.511.52246810121416Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.6 km/h21st pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph815th pct
  • Hardest shot130.1 km/h25th pct
  • Distance skated12 km11th pct
  • Offensive-zone time41.9%48th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

34.6 km/h9th pct

▼ −1.2 km/h since 2022–23

343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262023–24: no NHL games2024–25: no NHL games2021–22: 35.9 km/h, 47th percentile (29 games)2022–23: 35.8 km/h, 43rd percentile (27 games)2025–26: 34.6 km/h, 9th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

10.890th pct

▲ +3.6 since 2022–23

2468101221–2222–2323–2424–2525–262023–24: no NHL games2024–25: no NHL games2021–22: 10.4, 89th percentile (29 games)2022–23: 7.3, 73rd percentile (27 games)2025–26: 10.8, 90th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

16.2 km86th pct

▼ −0.3 km since 2022–23

14.51515.51616.51721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262023–24: no NHL games2024–25: no NHL games2021–22: 16.4 km, 92nd percentile (29 games)2022–23: 16.5 km, 96th percentile (27 games)2025–26: 16.2 km, 86th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

130.1 km/h12th pct

▲ +2.6 km/h since 2022–23

12013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262023–24: no NHL games2024–25: no NHL games2021–22: 149.8 km/h, 76th percentile (29 games)2022–23: 127.6 km/h, 4th percentile (27 games)2025–26: 130.1 km/h, 12th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

41.9%51st pct

▲ +0.9 points since 2022–23

36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262023–24: no NHL games2024–25: no NHL games2021–22: 38.6%, 12th percentile (29 games)2022–23: 41.0%, 38th percentile (27 games)2025–26: 41.9%, 51st percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)