Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 9, 2010·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Kaberle, saved by Leclaire
  3. P1 1:31Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Leclaire
  4. P1 1:38Goal by Kulemin (MacArthur)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek

  5. P1 4:53Shot by Armstrong, saved by Leclaire
  6. P1 5:48Shot by MacArthur, saved by Leclaire
  7. P1 6:08Shot by Zigomanis, saved by Leclaire
  8. P1 7:23Shot by Phillips, saved by Giguere
  9. P1 7:50Shot by Versteeg, saved by Leclaire
  10. P1 7:51Goal by Kessel (Versteeg)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Versteeg, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  11. P1 9:26Shot by Fisher, saved by Giguere
  12. P1 9:56Shot by Zigomanis, saved by Leclaire
  13. P1 10:10Karlsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Zigomanis, Orr, Brown, Schenn · OTT Kovalev, Campoli, Regin, Smith, Karlsson

  14. P1 10:47Shot by Kessel, saved by Leclaire5v4
  15. P1 10:59Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leclaire5v4
  16. P1 11:17Shot by Kessel, saved by Leclaire5v4
  17. P1 12:45Shot by Foligno, saved by Giguere
  18. P1 13:44Shot by Brent, saved by Leclaire
  19. P1 15:27Shot by Versteeg, saved by Leclaire
  20. P1 17:12Shot by Michalek, saved by Giguere
  21. P1 17:40Shot by Phillips, saved by Giguere
  22. P1 18:11Shot by Regin, saved by Giguere
  23. P1 18:54Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn · OTT Campoli, Regin, Smith, Winchester, Karlsson

  24. P1 18:58Shot by Bozak, saved by Leclaire5v4
  25. P1 19:53Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leclaire5v4
  26. P1 19:58Shot by Kaberle, saved by Leclaire5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:59Shot by Kaberle, saved by Leclaire
  30. P2 1:05Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Leclaire
  31. P2 1:40Shot by Campoli, saved by Giguere
  32. P2 2:40Shot by Foligno, saved by Giguere
  33. P2 2:59Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Leclaire
  34. P2 3:29Shot by Fisher, saved by Giguere
  35. P2 3:58Shot by Spezza, saved by Giguere
  36. P2 4:13Spezza: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Versteeg, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek

  37. P2 4:45Shot by MacArthur, saved by Leclaire5v4
  38. P2 4:51Shot by Grabovski, saved by Leclaire5v4
  39. P2 5:23Shot by Kulemin, saved by Leclaire5v4
  40. P2 5:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Leclaire5v4
  41. P2 6:08Shot by Versteeg, saved by Leclaire5v4
  42. P2 7:52Shot by Kulemin, saved by Leclaire
  43. P2 7:56Shot by MacArthur, saved by Leclaire
  44. P2 8:18Goal by MacArthur (Grabovski, Komisarek)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Phillips, Fisher, Foligno

  45. P2 8:50Shot by Karlsson, saved by Giguere
  46. P2 8:53Shot by Spezza, saved by Giguere
  47. P2 9:23Armstrong: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Sjostrom, Armstrong, Brent, Schenn · OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Lee

  48. P2 12:42Bozak: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Komisarek, Versteeg, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Spezza, Lee, Smith, Winchester

  49. P2 13:09Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Leclaire4v5
  50. P2 16:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Leclaire
  51. P2 19:28Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leclaire
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:41Kelly: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Sjostrom, Armstrong, Grabovski, Gunnarsson · OTT Kovalev, Ruutu, Carkner, Kelly, Lee

  55. P3 2:18Gonchar: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Phaneuf, Versteeg, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Campoli, Michalek, Winchester

  56. P3 2:44Goal by Versteeg (Kaberle, Kessel)5v3+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Phaneuf, Versteeg, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Phillips, Fisher, Carkner

  57. P3 3:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Leclaire5v4
  58. P3 4:40Shot by Zigomanis, saved by Leclaire
  59. P3 4:57Shot by Spezza, saved by Giguere
  60. P3 5:34Shot by Brent, saved by Leclaire
  61. P3 5:39Goal by Brent, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Sjostrom, Armstrong, Brent, Schenn · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Regin, Lee, Smith

  62. P3 6:04Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Zigomanis, Orr, Brown, Schenn · OTT Phillips, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly, Karlsson

  63. P3 6:04Brown: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Zigomanis, Orr, Brown, Schenn · OTT Phillips, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly, Karlsson

  64. P3 7:11Goal by Spezza (Alfredsson, Gonchar)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · OTT Alfredsson, Carkner, Spezza, Regin, Lee

  65. P3 7:51Shot by Brent, saved by Leclaire
  66. P3 8:59Carkner: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Zigomanis, Orr, Komisarek, MacArthur, Gunnarsson · OTT Ruutu, Carkner, Kelly, Lee, Smith

  67. P3 8:59Orr: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Zigomanis, Orr, Komisarek, MacArthur, Gunnarsson · OTT Ruutu, Carkner, Kelly, Lee, Smith

  68. P3 12:31Shot by Regin, saved by Giguere
  69. P3 14:27Brent: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Sjostrom, Armstrong, Brent, Gunnarsson · OTT Fisher, Campoli, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  70. P3 15:49Fisher: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Zigomanis, Versteeg, Schenn · OTT Fisher, Neil, Campoli, Regin, Karlsson

  71. P3 15:49Versteeg: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Zigomanis, Versteeg, Schenn · OTT Fisher, Neil, Campoli, Regin, Karlsson

  72. P3 16:29Shot by Gonchar, saved by Giguere
  73. P3 17:04Shot by Neil, saved by Giguere
  74. P3 18:25Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Leclaire
  75. P3 18:38Kulemin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · OTT Phillips, Regin, Smith, Winchester, Karlsson

  76. P3 18:38Phaneuf: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · OTT Phillips, Regin, Smith, Winchester, Karlsson

  77. P3 19:39Shot by Spezza, saved by Giguere4v5
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final