Sat, Oct 9, 2010·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.
71%
9%
13%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 25:38 | 0.00 | 29.6% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.03 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.04 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:24 | 0.57 | 58.3% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.02 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.03 | 56.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.03 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.19 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.07 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.15 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.00 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.04 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 2.82 | −2.2 | 59:55 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:39 | 0.39 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:39 | 0.15 | 78.0% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:57 | 0.02 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:11 | 0.63 | 36.6% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:47 | 0.37 | 38.2% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.20 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.09 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.04 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.05 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.04 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.06 | 67.9% | +7.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:00 | 0.23 | 68.7% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 75.4% | +7.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.20 | 62.1% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:07 | 0.26 | 59.5% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.08 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.02 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:46 | 0.00 | 89.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.22 | +0.2 | 60:00 |