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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 10, 2010·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 83% of the time.

DAL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Eriksson, saved by Ward
  3. P1 0:52Ruutu: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Grossmann, Neal · CAR Samsonov, Ruutu, Pitkanen, White, Staal

  4. P1 1:25Shot by Morrow, saved by Ward5v4
  5. P1 2:21Shot by Ott, saved by Ward5v4
  6. P1 7:10Shot by Harrison, saved by Raycroft
  7. P1 8:51Shot by Dwyer, saved by Raycroft
  8. P1 9:39Goal by Neal (Richards, Gagnon)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Richards, Woywitka, Daley, Gagnon, Neal · CAR Samsonov, Ruutu, Pitkanen, White, Staal

  9. P1 10:42Burish: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ott, Woywitka, Segal, Burish, Daley · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Staal, McBain

  10. P1 13:39Shot by Samsonov, saved by Raycroft
  11. P1 13:43Shot by Ruutu, saved by Raycroft
  12. P1 16:08Cole: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Richards, Ott, Woywitka, Daley, Eriksson · CAR Corvo, Cole, Gleason, Sutter, Skinner

  13. P1 18:43Shot by Neal, saved by Ward
  14. P1 19:31Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Raycroft
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:44Staal: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Richards, Eriksson, Grossmann, Neal · CAR Jokinen, LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain

  18. P2 1:38Shot by Richards, saved by Ward5v4
  19. P2 5:36Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Raycroft
  20. P2 5:58Shot by Neal, saved by Ward
  21. P2 6:30Shot by Woywitka, saved by Ward
  22. P2 8:44Shot by Dwyer, saved by Raycroft
  23. P2 9:03Goal by Tlusty (Bodie, Carter)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Richards, Skrastins, Ott, Eriksson, Niskanen · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Bodie, Tlusty, Carter

  24. P2 9:17Shot by Woywitka, saved by Ward
  25. P2 9:50Shot by Woywitka, saved by Ward
  26. P2 9:53Sutherby: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Sutherby, Grossmann, Gagnon, Wandell · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal

  27. P2 11:48Shot by Corvo, saved by Raycroft4v5
  28. P2 12:14Shot by Dwyer, saved by Raycroft
  29. P2 12:33Shot by Ott, saved by Ward
  30. P2 12:52Shot by Ott, saved by Ward
  31. P2 13:41Shot by Richards, saved by Ward
  32. P2 13:55Shot by Morrow, saved by Ward
  33. P2 14:39Robidas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Daley, Benn · CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain

  34. P2 14:50Shot by Ott, saved by Ward4v5
  35. P2 17:06Shot by Benn, saved by Ward
  36. P2 17:22Shot by Samsonov, saved by Raycroft
  37. P2 18:14Shot by Carter, saved by Raycroft
  38. P2 18:21Shot by McBain, saved by Raycroft
  39. P2 18:38Shot by Bodie, saved by Raycroft
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:33Shot by Cole, saved by Raycroft
  43. P3 2:03Shot by Daley, saved by Ward
  44. P3 4:26Shot by Segal, saved by Ward
  45. P3 5:27Shot by Gleason, saved by Raycroft
  46. P3 5:50Bodie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Woywitka, Daley, Benn · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Bodie, Tlusty, Carter

  47. P3 6:13Shot by Richards, saved by Ward5v4
  48. P3 7:39Shot by Morrow, saved by Ward5v4
  49. P3 8:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Raycroft
  50. P3 9:00Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Raycroft5v6
  51. P3 9:01Daley: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Skrastins, Sutherby, Daley, Gagnon, Wandell · CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Sutter, Skinner

  52. P3 12:03Shot by Burish, saved by Ward
  53. P3 12:39Ott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Skrastins, Ott, Segal, Burish, Niskanen · CAR Gleason, White, Bodie, Tlusty, Carter

  54. P3 13:47Shot by Burish, saved by Ward4v5
  55. P3 18:00Shot by Jokinen, saved by Raycroft
  56. P3 18:15Shot by Richards, saved by Ward
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. OT 0:00Period start
  59. OT 0:39Shot by Staal, saved by Raycroft4v4
  60. OT 1:07Shot by Sutter, saved by Raycroft4v4
  61. OT 1:28Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Ward4v4
  62. OT 1:30Shot by Morrow, saved by Ward4v4
  63. OT 2:32Shot by Neal, saved by Ward4v4
  64. OT 2:34Shot by Richards, saved by Ward4v4
  65. OT 3:44Shot by Morrow, saved by Ward4v4
  66. OT 4:17Shot by Corvo, saved by Raycroft4v4
  67. OT 4:30Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Raycroft4v4
  68. OT 4:39Shot by Grossmann, saved by Ward4v4
  69. OT 5:00Period end
  70. SO Period start
  71. SO Shot by Jokinen, saved by Raycroftother
  72. SO Goal by Richards, unassistedother
  73. SO Shot by Skinner, saved by Raycroftother
  74. SO Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Wardother
  75. SO Shot by Staal, saved by Raycroftother
  76. SO Period end
  77. SO Final