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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 10, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver

Detroit Red Wings 4, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

COL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:54Shot by Porter, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:18Shot by Helm, saved by Budaj
  4. P1 2:20Shot by Draper, saved by Budaj
  5. P1 2:40Shot by Hunwick, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:01Rafalski: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Liles, Mauldin, O'Byrne, Dupuis, Yip · DET Rafalski, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader, Mursak

  7. P1 4:47Shot by Porter, saved by Howard5v4
  8. P1 5:50Shot by Liles, saved by Howard
  9. P1 5:58Goal by Stastny (Hejduk, Porter)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Liles, O'Byrne, Porter, Stastny · DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Holmstrom, Zetterberg, Kronwall

  10. P1 6:52Goal by Mursak (Miller, Abdelkader)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mauldin, Dupuis, Jones, Hunwick, Wilson · DET Rafalski, Ericsson, Miller, Abdelkader, Mursak

  11. P1 7:08Shot by Winnik, saved by Howard
  12. P1 8:32Goal by Duchene (Fleischmann)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Foote, Fleischmann, Jones, Wilson, Duchene · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Franzen

  13. P1 10:13Ericsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Foote, Mauldin, Dupuis, Yip, Wilson · DET Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson

  14. P1 10:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard5v4
  15. P1 12:28Goal by Porter (Jones, Yip)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Jones, Porter, Yip, Wilson, Holos · DET Lidstrom, Kronwall, Ericsson, Eaves, Helm

  16. P1 13:01Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Budaj
  17. P1 14:15Goal by Duchene (Fleischmann, Jones)+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL Foote, Fleischmann, Jones, Wilson, Duchene · DET Holmstrom, Salei, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Franzen

  18. P1 14:41Shot by Galiardi, saved by MacDonald
  19. P1 14:42O'Reilly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hunwick, Winnik, Galiardi, Holos, O'Reilly · DET Draper, Salei, Eaves, Kindl, Helm

  20. P1 15:03Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Budaj4v5
  21. P1 15:50Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Budaj4v5
  22. P1 16:19Shot by Galiardi, saved by MacDonald4v5
  23. P1 16:48Shot by Hudler, saved by Budaj
  24. P1 18:00Goal by Rafalski (Helm)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Foote, Hejduk, Porter, Stastny, Wilson · DET Draper, Salei, Rafalski, Eaves, Helm

  25. P1 19:12Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Budaj
  26. P1 19:27Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald
  27. P1 19:27Rafalski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Foote, Fleischmann, Jones, Wilson, Duchene · DET Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Franzen

  28. P1 19:49Shot by Stastny, saved by MacDonald5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:03Shot by Hejduk, saved by MacDonald5v4
  32. P2 4:16Shot by Hudler, saved by Budaj
  33. P2 4:20Shot by Rafalski, saved by Budaj
  34. P2 6:24Shot by Winnik, saved by MacDonald
  35. P2 6:51Goal by Jones (Duchene)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Fleischmann, O'Byrne, Jones, Duchene · DET Draper, Rafalski, Ericsson, Eaves, Helm

  36. P2 10:06Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Budaj
  37. P2 10:13Shot by Fleischmann, saved by MacDonald
  38. P2 12:16Shot by Miller, saved by Budaj
  39. P2 12:46Shot by Winnik, saved by MacDonald
  40. P2 13:13Shot by Hunwick, saved by MacDonald
  41. P2 14:35Mauldin: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Foote, Fleischmann, Jones, Wilson, Duchene · DET Bertuzzi, Holmstrom, Salei, Zetterberg, Hudler, Ericsson

  42. P2 15:30Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Budaj4v5
  43. P2 15:30Goal by Zetterberg (Holmstrom, Lidstrom)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Foote, Dupuis, Winnik, Wilson · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Franzen

  44. P2 15:50Shot by Kronwall, saved by Budaj
  45. P2 17:01Shot by Salei, saved by Budaj
  46. P2 17:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by MacDonald
  47. P2 18:05Shot by Eaves, saved by Budaj
  48. P2 18:05Helm: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Porter, Hunwick, Stastny, Holos · DET Draper, Salei, Kronwall, Eaves, Helm

  49. P2 19:10Shot by Fleischmann, saved by MacDonald5v4
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:40Shot by Kindl, saved by Budaj
  53. P3 1:46Shot by Kindl, saved by Budaj
  54. P3 3:57Shot by Draper, saved by Budaj
  55. P3 4:17Shot by Filppula, saved by Budaj
  56. P3 4:53Shot by Ericsson, saved by Budaj
  57. P3 5:07Shot by Galiardi, saved by MacDonald
  58. P3 5:07Shot by O'Reilly, saved by MacDonald
  59. P3 5:56Shot by Salei, saved by Budaj
  60. P3 6:05Shot by Kindl, saved by Budaj
  61. P3 8:12Shot by Helm, saved by Budaj
  62. P3 8:36Shot by Kindl, saved by Budaj
  63. P3 8:50Porter: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Fleischmann, Dupuis, Jones, Hunwick, Holos · DET Salei, Eaves, Miller, Kindl, Helm

  64. P3 9:45Goal by Holmstrom (Zetterberg, Lidstrom)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, O'Byrne, Winnik, O'Reilly · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Rafalski, Zetterberg, Franzen

  65. P3 13:01Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Budaj
  66. P3 13:13Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Budaj
  67. P3 13:20Bertuzzi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Foote, Hejduk, Stastny, Wilson, Galiardi · DET Bertuzzi, Rafalski, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson

  68. P3 16:08Shot by Wilson, saved by MacDonald
  69. P3 17:02Shot by Fleischmann, saved by MacDonald
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final