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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 10, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver

Detroit Red Wings 4, Colorado Avalanche 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

COL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bertuzzi–Filppula–HudlerHolmstrom–Zetterberg–FranzenMiller–Abdelkader–MursakDraper–Eaves–HelmRafalski–EricssonSalei–KindlLidstrom–KronwallKronwall–EricssonSalei–EricssonSalei–KronwallRafalski–Kronwall
Winnik–Galiardi–O'Reilly1:320.02–0.033:350.31–0.201:130.00–0.151:470.14–0.463:300.17–0.022:580.14–0.482:070.31–0.150:380.00–0.13
Hejduk–Porter–Stastny6:160.05–0.201:570.00–0.031:160.00–0.010:300.00–0.094:020.05–0.131:340.00–0.092:370.07–0.001:010.00–0.071:000.00–0.03
Fleischmann–Jones–Duchene2:490.10–0.223:140.27–0.251:590.00–0.090:310.15–0.032:520.30–0.201:460.00–0.073:120.16–0.240:430.11–0.000:500.07–0.070:480.00–0.00
Mauldin–Dupuis–Yip1:390.00–0.001:240.00–0.120:550.00–0.001:480.00–0.121:040.00–0.00
Hejduk–Stastny–Galiardi0:540.00–0.001:000.00–0.02
Foote–Wilson3:450.03–0.145:170.67–0.212:070.00–0.031:000.00–0.144:550.31–0.183:300.00–0.193:260.38–0.140:330.00–0.001:020.00–0.03
Liles–O'Byrne6:000.12–0.382:570.00–0.220:470.00–0.000:500.16–0.033:490.20–0.160:460.00–0.004:440.15–0.251:130.00–0.151:170.00–0.07
Hunwick–Holos0:490.02–0.000:300.00–0.002:210.00–0.021:300.14–0.062:050.02–0.002:110.14–0.050:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.03
O'Byrne–Hunwick0:390.00–0.070:460.00–0.131:060.00–0.000:400.11–0.13
Hunwick–Wilson1:020.00–0.320:380.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDuchene FFleischmann FJones FHejduk FStastny FPorter FWinnik FO'Reilly FGaliardi FDupuis FYip FMauldin FO'Byrne DLiles DWilson DFoote DHunwick DHolos DBudaj GZetterberg FFranzen FHolmstrom FHudler FBertuzzi FFilppula FEaves FDraper FHelm FMursak FAbdelkader FMiller FLidstrom DKronwall DRafalski DEricsson DKindl DSalei DHoward GMacDonald G
COLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John-Michael LilesCOL2924:580:521:3474
Nicklas LidstromDET2923:420:493:3077
Brian RafalskiDET2823:400:512:0370
Niklas KronwallDET3023:100:462:3347
Jonathan EricssonDET3122:280:431:3130
Paul StastnyCOL2521:410:521:5648
Ryan WilsonCOL2721:350:481:5515
Ryan O'ByrneCOL2521:140:512:0633
Milan HejdukCOL2321:000:551:5648
Adam FooteCOL2720:430:461:5515
Matt DucheneCOL2419:200:481:3761
Johan FranzenDET2518:480:451:3481
Henrik ZetterbergDET2418:380:471:3471
Tomas FleischmannCOL2618:260:431:3461
Ruslan SaleiDET2417:190:431:1922
David JonesCOL2616:470:391:2240
Todd BertuzziDET2316:190:431:3432
Tomas HolmstromDET2216:110:441:2871
Daniel WinnikCOL2216:010:442:0615
Drew MillerDET1815:580:532:1532
TJ GaliardiCOL2215:450:431:4006
Jiri HudlerDET2015:030:451:4121
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2215:000:412:0605
Kevin PorterCOL1714:510:521:5524
Darren HelmDET2113:590:402:4015
Justin AbdelkaderDET1613:470:521:1932
Matt HunwickCOL1813:410:462:0633
Valtteri FilppulaDET1812:560:431:0831
Jakub KindlDET1712:120:431:0431
Jonas HolosCOL1811:030:371:0632
Patrick EavesDET2010:470:320:5505
Brandon YipCOL119:150:501:1410
Philippe DupuisCOL149:020:391:1401
Kris DraperDET148:120:350:5501
Jan MursakDET128:050:401:1130
Greg MauldinCOL95:480:391:0500