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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 7, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Atlanta Thrashers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 1:04Kessel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Crabb, Boyce, Kessel, Schenn · ATL Hainsey, Ladd, Bergfors, Little, Bogosian

  5. P1 2:39Goal by Kane (Little, Bogosian)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Sjostrom, Brent, Phaneuf · ATL Byfuglien, Bergfors, Little, Bogosian, Kane

  6. P1 2:51Shot by Crabb, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 3:17Shot by Kulda, saved by Giguere
  8. P1 3:52Shot by Stapleton, saved by Giguere
  9. P1 3:59Shot by Oduya, saved by Giguere
  10. P1 4:35Shot by Peverley, saved by Giguere
  11. P1 4:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 6:11Shot by Bergfors, saved by Giguere
  13. P1 8:23Shot by Brent, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 8:28Shot by Ladd, saved by Giguere
  15. P1 8:40Shot by Bergfors, saved by Giguere
  16. P1 9:10Shot by Bergfors, saved by Giguere
  17. P1 9:34Komisarek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Versteeg, Gunnarsson, Bozak · ATL Antropov, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bogosian

  18. P1 9:42Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Pavelec4v5
  19. P1 10:29Ladd: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Armstrong, Schenn, Bozak · ATL Antropov, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bogosian

  20. P1 10:53Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec4v4
  21. P1 11:08Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec4v4
  22. P1 12:57Versteeg: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Brent, Versteeg, Schenn · ATL Sopel, Antropov, Hainsey, Ladd, Bergfors, Little

  23. P1 13:08Shot by Antropov, saved by Giguere4v5
  24. P1 13:58Shot by Ladd, saved by Giguere4v5
  25. P1 14:18Phaneuf: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn · ATL Sopel, Byfuglien, Bergfors, Little, Kane

  26. P1 15:05Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Giguere4v5
  27. P1 15:26Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec4v5
  28. P1 15:54Bozak: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Armstrong, Schenn, Bozak · ATL Sopel, Byfuglien, Bergfors, Stapleton, Kane

  29. P1 16:08Shot by Ladd, saved by Giguere3v5
  30. P1 16:14Goal by Byfuglien (Bogosian, Peverley)3v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Brent, Schenn · ATL Antropov, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Bogosian

  31. P1 16:40Shot by Bogosian, saved by Giguere4v5
  32. P1 16:49Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Giguere4v5
  33. P1 17:08Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Pavelec4v5
  34. P1 17:40Shot by Modin, saved by Giguere4v5
  35. P1 18:48Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  36. P1 18:58Komisarek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Komisarek, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin · ATL Hainsey, Thorburn, Little, Bogosian, Kane

  37. P1 19:32Shot by Peverley, saved by Giguere4v5
  38. P1 0:00Period end
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:55Shot by Stewart, saved by Giguere4v5
  41. P2 1:21Goal by Phaneuf (Grabovski, Kulemin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · ATL Oduya, Stewart, Byfuglien, Little, Kane

  42. P2 2:03Stapleton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Schenn, Bozak · ATL Hainsey, Thorburn, Stapleton, Bogosian, Cormier

  43. P2 2:07Thorburn: Delaying game (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin · ATL Sopel, Thorburn, Oduya, Little

  44. P2 2:55Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec5v3
  45. P2 3:18Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec5v3
  46. P2 4:00Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec5v3
  47. P2 4:06Goal by Grabovski (MacArthur, Kaberle)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, MacArthur, Versteeg, Grabovski, Kessel · ATL Modin, Sopel, Oduya, Stapleton

  48. P2 4:45Shot by Antropov, saved by Giguere
  49. P2 4:45Goal by Antropov (Stewart)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Bozak · ATL Antropov, Stewart, Byfuglien, Kulda, Kane

  50. P2 7:56Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Giguere
  51. P2 10:20Grabovski: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin, Schenn · ATL Modin, Oduya, Byfuglien, Peverley, Burmistrov

  52. P2 12:28Shot by Little, saved by Giguere
  53. P2 13:07Shot by Kaberle, saved by Pavelec
  54. P2 13:41Shot by MacArthur, saved by Pavelec
  55. P2 13:55Shot by Kane, saved by Giguere
  56. P2 14:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  57. P2 15:37Goal by MacArthur (Kaberle, Versteeg)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Komisarek, MacArthur, Boyce, Versteeg · ATL Sopel, Bergfors, Little, Kulda, Cormier

  58. P2 18:46Shot by Cormier, saved by Giguere
  59. P2 19:03Shot by Schenn, saved by Pavelec
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:16Shot by Kane, saved by Giguere
  63. P3 0:57Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 1:49Shot by MacArthur, saved by Pavelec
  65. P3 2:05Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pavelec
  66. P3 2:59Shot by Antropov, saved by Giguere
  67. P3 4:17Goal by Kulemin, unassisted+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin, Schenn · ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Byfuglien, Ladd, Bergfors

  68. P3 5:24Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec
  69. P3 7:25Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Giguere
  70. P3 7:33Shot by Ladd, saved by Giguere
  71. P3 9:28Goal by Brent (Crabb, Armstrong)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Crabb, Brent, Schenn · ATL Sopel, Bergfors, Stapleton, Kulda, Cormier

  72. P3 10:51Shot by Little, saved by Giguere
  73. P3 10:57Shot by Little, saved by Giguere
  74. P3 11:01Goal by Ladd (Peverley, Little)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Beauchemin, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Versteeg, Bozak · ATL Hainsey, Ladd, Peverley, Little, Bogosian

  75. P3 11:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Pavelec
  76. P3 10:59Shot by Peverley, saved by Giguere
  77. P3 13:15Shot by Versteeg, saved by Pavelec
  78. P3 13:37Shot by Stewart, saved by Giguere
  79. P3 13:51Shot by Grabovski, saved by Pavelec
  80. P3 15:03Shot by Crabb, saved by Pavelec
  81. P3 17:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec
  82. P3 19:22Peverley: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Grabovski, Kessel, Kulemin, Schenn · ATL Thorburn, Byfuglien, Ladd, Peverley, Little, Bogosian

  83. P3 0:00Byfuglien: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kaberle, Armstrong, Crabb, Brent, Schenn · ATL Byfuglien, Ladd, Little, Kane, Burmistrov

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final