Mon, Feb 7, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Atlanta Thrashers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
52%
9%
9%
30%
TOR winsATL wins
Atlanta Thrashers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 29:07 | 0.28 | 76.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 25:41 | 0.05 | 41.2% | +31.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:00 | 0.51 | 56.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.12 | 47.9% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.10 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.11 | 57.7% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:09 | 0.58 | 63.3% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.10 | 44.5% | +28.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.03 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 66.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.17 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.18 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 6:40 | 0.03 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:00 | 0.02 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:29 | 0.13 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 2.49 | −2.5 | 58:49 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 27:54 | 0.02 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:21 | 0.05 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 26:01 | 0.10 | 43.6% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:15 | 0.24 | 81.8% | +51.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.14 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.61 | 35.9% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:59 | 0.94 | 54.2% | +39.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.07 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.09 | 52.4% | +43.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.18 | 50.6% | +27.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.11 | 29.9% | +51.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.15 | 74.3% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.24 | 72.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:10 | 0.12 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:57 | 0.00 | 3.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.45 | −1.5 | 60:00 |