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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 8, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

7

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:28Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:46Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Smaby, Downie, Stamkos · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Stafford, Butler, Ennis

  5. P1 2:52Shot by Leopold, saved by Roloson4v5
  6. P1 3:15Shot by Ennis, saved by Roloson4v5
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Roloson4v5
  8. P1 4:58Shot by Sekera, saved by Roloson
  9. P1 5:43Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  10. P1 5:57Shot by Bergeron, saved by Miller
  11. P1 6:23Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Miller
  12. P1 6:36Goal by Bergenheim (Lecavalier, Clark)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Malone, Bergenheim, Jones · BUF Connolly, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  13. P1 6:46Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Roloson
  14. P1 7:56Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  15. P1 8:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  16. P1 12:16Shot by Tyrell, saved by Miller
  17. P1 12:47Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Roloson
  18. P1 12:57Shot by Pominville, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 14:33Shot by Byron, saved by Roloson
  20. P1 14:54Malone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Malone, Bergenheim, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Weber

  21. P1 15:05Myers: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Bergenheim, Jones · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Vanek, Stafford, Myers

  22. P1 15:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller4v4
  23. P1 16:43Goal by Stafford (Leopold)4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Leopold, Morrisonn, Stafford, Ennis

  24. P1 17:28Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:14Shot by Tyrell, saved by Miller
  26. P1 18:25Shot by Gerbe, saved by Roloson
  27. P1 18:39Shot by Weber, saved by Roloson
  28. P1 19:33Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:12Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Roloson
  32. P2 0:45Moore: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Moore, Tyrell, Hedman · BUF Niedermayer, Hecht, Pominville, Sekera, Myers

  33. P2 2:42Shot by Hall, saved by Miller4v5
  34. P2 4:58Goal by Lecavalier (Hedman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman · BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers

  35. P2 5:41Gerbe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Jones, Downie, Stamkos · BUF Niedermayer, Gaustad, Butler, Gerbe, Weber

  36. P2 8:18Shot by Ennis, saved by Roloson
  37. P2 8:48Shot by Ohlund, saved by Miller
  38. P2 11:22Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  39. P2 11:24Goal by Bergenheim (Malone)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Malone, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman · BUF Hecht, Morrisonn, Pominville, Vanek, Weber

  40. P2 12:01Hecht: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Bergeron, Tyrell · BUF Hecht, Morrisonn, Pominville, Vanek, Weber

  41. P2 12:15Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller5v4
  42. P2 12:27Shot by Clark, saved by Miller5v4
  43. P2 14:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  44. P2 16:15Shot by Grier, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 16:57Shot by Kubina, saved by Miller
  46. P2 17:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  47. P2 17:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  48. P2 18:10Goal by Vanek (Weber)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergeron, Purcell · BUF Morrisonn, McCormick, Vanek, Weber, Byron

  49. P2 18:44Shot by Gaustad, saved by Roloson
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:53Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
  53. P3 1:17Shot by Gagne, saved by Miller
  54. P3 1:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  55. P3 2:52Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
  56. P3 3:37Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  57. P3 4:26Goal by Leopold (Ennis)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Bergeron, Downie · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Stafford, Butler, Ennis

  58. P3 4:26Connolly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Bergeron, Downie · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Stafford, Butler, Ennis

  59. P3 4:26Downie: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Bergeron, Downie · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Stafford, Butler, Ennis

  60. P3 4:26Downie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Bergeron, Downie · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Stafford, Butler, Ennis

  61. P3 4:43Hedman: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Jones, Hedman · BUF Hecht, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  62. P3 4:43Stafford: Roughing (2 min)3v4

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Jones, Hedman · BUF Hecht, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  63. P3 4:43Hedman: Roughing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Jones, Hedman · BUF Hecht, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  64. P3 5:56Leopold: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Moore, Jones · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Ennis

  65. P3 6:16Shot by Myers, saved by Roloson4v3
  66. P3 10:14Goal by Connolly (Ennis)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman · BUF Connolly, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  67. P3 10:32Shot by Gerbe, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 10:37Shot by Pominville, saved by Roloson
  69. P3 11:01Goal by Vanek (McCormick)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Stamkos · BUF Leopold, McCormick, Vanek, Butler, Byron

  70. P3 11:27Shot by Hall, saved by Miller
  71. P3 11:56Goal by Stafford (Morrisonn, Weber)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman · BUF Connolly, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  72. P3 12:12Shot by Hecht, saved by Roloson
  73. P3 12:30Shot by Hecht, saved by Roloson
  74. P3 12:32Bergenheim: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Stamkos · BUF Hecht, Pominville, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers

  75. P3 13:15Shot by Leopold, saved by Roloson4v5
  76. P3 13:27Goal by Stafford (Leopold, Vanek)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Jones, Tyrell · BUF Leopold, Vanek, Stafford, Myers, Ennis

  77. P3 14:23Bergeron: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Bergenheim · BUF Leopold, McCormick, Butler, Gerbe, Byron

  78. P3 14:23McCormick: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Bergenheim · BUF Leopold, McCormick, Butler, Gerbe, Byron

  79. P3 15:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller4v4
  80. P3 15:17Stafford: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Kubina, St. Louis, Stamkos · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Butler, Ennis

  81. P3 16:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller4v3
  82. P3 16:19Goal by Lecavalier (St. Louis, Stamkos)4v30 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Stamkos · BUF Grier, Leopold, Morrisonn

  83. P3 16:28Shot by Pominville, saved by Roloson4v5
  84. P3 18:06Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final