Tue, Feb 8, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
10%
17%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.12 | 29.2% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.01 | 29.5% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.05 | 27.8% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.04 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.28 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.02 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.04 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.02 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.13 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.15 | 41.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.14 | 39.2% | +60.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.15 | 17.5% | +27.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.09 | 33.9% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.10 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.04 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.02 | 44.1% | +11.2 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.56 | −1.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 23:14 | 0.48 | 61.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.00 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:03 | 0.26 | 66.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:37 | 0.08 | 82.4% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.01 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 6 | 18:26 | 0.44 | 66.5% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.17 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.21 | 51.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.04 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.07 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.06 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.05 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.13 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.04 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.04 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 12:40 | 0.34 | 61.9% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 6:36 | 0.13 | 89.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 21 | 7 | .750 | 1.37 | −5.6 | 60:00 |