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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 8, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Niedermayer–Grier–GaustadHecht–Pominville–VanekConnolly–Stafford–EnnisMcCormick–Gerbe–ByronHecht–Pominville–GerbeMcCormick–Vanek–ByronStafford–Byron–EnnisMorrisonn–WeberLeopold–ButlerSekera–Myers
Lecavalier–Gagne–Purcell3:130.00–0.002:580.18–0.031:050.04–0.131:400.00–0.001:050.11–0.056:130.19–0.211:330.00–0.002:150.17–0.03
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos3:030.06–0.082:310.19–0.002:370.13–0.001:090.14–0.022:420.10–0.003:480.30–0.022:550.16–0.07
Hall–Moore–Tyrell2:500.08–0.010:560.00–0.002:000.03–0.000:320.00–0.002:170.00–0.013:300.11–0.001:360.00–0.00
St. Louis–Bergenheim–Stamkos0:440.00–0.001:580.15–0.190:440.00–0.002:000.15–0.19
Hall–Moore–Bergenheim0:380.00–0.000:430.00–0.100:390.00–0.000:440.00–0.10
Malone–Moore–Bergenheim0:390.01–0.000:540.01–0.00
Kubina–Jones8:160.18–0.050:300.00–0.031:200.02–0.000:550.00–0.000:470.00–0.106:050.00–0.044:590.18–0.103:000.07–0.04
Ohlund–Hedman0:580.00–0.004:180.54–0.002:570.07–0.131:220.09–0.041:540.37–0.174:430.12–0.003:330.26–0.03
Clark–Bergeron1:590.00–0.022:260.15–0.001:040.00–0.021:570.08–0.020:510.00–0.190:460.00–0.155:260.12–0.052:350.11–0.121:270.00–0.21
Bergeron–Hedman0:300.04–0.000:340.11–0.000:340.11–0.000:370.04–0.00
Kubina–Bergeron1:050.00–0.041:100.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FGagne FPurcell FHall FMoore FTyrell FDownie FSt. Louis FStamkos FBergenheim FMalone FJones DKubina DOhlund DHedman DBergeron DClark DSmaby DRoloson GNiedermayer FGrier FGaustad FVanek FPominville FHecht FConnolly FStafford FEnnis FGerbe FByron FMcCormick FWeber DMorrisonn DSekera DMyers DLeopold DButler DMiller G
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Martin St. LouisTBL2823:140:501:4542
Randy JonesTBL2923:010:482:1416
Jordan LeopoldBUF2621:480:501:4673
Mike WeberBUF3021:410:431:4035
Shaone MorrisonnBUF2921:370:451:4025
Steven StamkosTBL2721:030:471:4023
Victor HedmanTBL2919:370:411:3045
Pavel KubinaTBL2518:590:461:2112
Vincent LecavalierTBL2418:260:461:1863
Andrej SekeraBUF2718:020:401:2124
Tyler MyersBUF2717:460:391:3134
Simon GagneTBL2317:450:461:3154
Brett ClarkTBL2317:410:461:4052
Mattias OhlundTBL2517:280:421:1317
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2517:010:411:2343
Jason PominvilleBUF2216:540:461:1343
Mike GrierBUF2316:510:441:1825
Paul GaustadBUF2316:480:441:2026
Rob NiedermayerBUF2316:170:421:2325
Chris ButlerBUF2016:110:491:2541
Dominic MooreTBL2216:050:441:4303
Jochen HechtBUF2316:040:421:1944
Adam HallTBL2415:330:391:1314
Teddy PurcellTBL2015:270:461:2033
Drew StaffordBUF2315:020:391:4632
Tyler EnnisBUF2414:560:371:2021
Thomas VanekBUF1814:550:501:1392
Dana TyrellTBL2314:340:381:0713
Steve DownieTBL1512:520:511:4511
Sean BergenheimTBL2112:400:361:0526
Tim ConnollyBUF2012:160:371:4621
Nathan GerbeBUF1712:020:421:3541
Paul ByronBUF159:350:381:0840
Cody McCormickBUF148:130:351:0341
Ryan MaloneTBL106:360:401:2512
Matt SmabyTBL20:570:290:3900