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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 9, 2011·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Ottawa Senators 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 79% of the time.

CGY winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Ruutu: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Stajan, Babchuk, Bourque, Mikkelson · OTT Phillips, Fisher, Ruutu, Neil, Karlsson

  3. P1 2:36Shot by Jackman, saved by Lehner5v4
  4. P1 2:50Shot by Jackman, saved by Lehner5v4
  5. P1 2:56Shot by Jackman, saved by Lehner5v4
  6. P1 3:00Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner5v4
  7. P1 3:03Shot by Morrison, saved by Lehner5v4
  8. P1 3:17Shot by Babchuk, saved by Lehner5v4
  9. P1 3:24Shot by Morrison, saved by Lehner5v4
  10. P1 5:53Shot by Kelly, saved by Kiprusoff
  11. P1 6:52Shot by Regin, saved by Kiprusoff
  12. P1 6:57Shot by Smith, saved by Kiprusoff
  13. P1 7:11Shot by Kovalev, saved by Kiprusoff
  14. P1 8:35Shot by Hagman, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 8:40Goal by Jackman (Hagman, Regehr)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Regehr, Hagman, Jackman, Bouwmeester, Stajan · OTT Phillips, Fisher, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  16. P1 9:17Goal by Kelly (Ruutu, Kuba)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Babchuk, Bourque, Mikkelson, Backlund, Bouma · OTT Kuba, Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly

  17. P1 9:31Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 10:20Shot by Campoli, saved by Kiprusoff
  19. P1 10:21Goal by Campoli, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jokinen, Regehr, Moss, Bouwmeester, Glencross · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek, Shannon

  20. P1 11:16Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 12:30Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 13:47Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 14:07Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Kostopoulos, Giordano, Backlund, Bouma · OTT Kuba, Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly

  24. P1 15:04Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lehner5v4
  25. P1 15:55Shot by Babchuk, saved by Lehner5v4
  26. P1 16:03Shot by Babchuk, saved by Lehner5v4
  27. P1 16:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Kiprusoff
  28. P1 16:53Shot by Gonchar, saved by Kiprusoff
  29. P1 17:01Giordano: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Morrison, Iginla, Sarich, Giordano, Bourque · OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Regin, Smith, Karlsson

  30. P1 17:09Shot by Kuba, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  31. P1 17:23Shot by Karlsson, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  32. P1 0:00Kovalev: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Regehr, Jackman, Giordano · OTT Phillips, Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly

  33. P1 19:40Shot by Ruutu, saved by Kiprusoff
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:12Shot by Michalek, saved by Kiprusoff
  37. P2 1:39Giordano: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Morrison, Iginla, Sarich, Giordano, Bourque · OTT Kuba, Fisher, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  38. P2 4:02Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 4:12Shot by Neil, saved by Kiprusoff
  40. P2 4:25Shot by Kelly, saved by Kiprusoff
  41. P2 4:31Shot by Phillips, saved by Kiprusoff
  42. P2 5:00Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 6:10Shot by Sarich, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 7:11Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 8:43Shot by Hagman, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 12:11Butler: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Stajan, Giordano · OTT Phillips, Fisher, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  47. P2 12:45Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lehner5v4
  48. P2 13:06Shot by Morrison, saved by Lehner5v4
  49. P2 13:30Shot by Regehr, saved by Lehner5v4
  50. P2 13:42Goal by Jokinen (Glencross, Babchuk)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Regehr, Babchuk, Glencross · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Fisher, Shannon

  51. P2 14:41Shot by Smith, saved by Kiprusoff
  52. P2 15:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Kiprusoff
  53. P2 15:38Shot by Karlsson, saved by Kiprusoff
  54. P2 17:44Goal by Glencross (Jokinen, Babchuk)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jokinen, Moss, Babchuk, Glencross, Mikkelson · OTT Kuba, Fisher, Carkner, Foligno, Butler

  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:45Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 3:28Shot by Kostopoulos, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 5:42Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 7:22Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner6v5
  61. P3 7:24Ruutu: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Sarich, Jokinen, Moss, Giordano, Glencross · OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Shannon

  62. P3 8:36Goal by Babchuk (Regehr)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jokinen, Regehr, Moss, Babchuk, Bourque · OTT Kuba, Kelly, Campoli, Smith

  63. P3 9:37Shot by Foligno, saved by Kiprusoff
  64. P3 11:02Shot by Smith, saved by Kiprusoff
  65. P3 14:06Spezza: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Morrison, Iginla, Sarich, Regehr, Bourque · OTT Kovalev, Kuba, Carkner, Spezza, Michalek

  66. P3 14:47Shot by Moss, saved by Lehner5v4
  67. P3 15:35Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner5v4
  68. P3 15:38Goal by Jackman (Iginla, Morrison)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Morrison, Iginla, Jackman, Bouwmeester, Babchuk · OTT Gonchar, Ruutu, Campoli, Smith

  69. P3 15:54Shot by Foligno, saved by Kiprusoff
  70. P3 16:22Sarich: Holding the stick (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Kostopoulos, Hagman, Stajan, Mikkelson · OTT Gonchar, Fisher, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  71. P3 16:44Shot by Spezza, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  72. P3 17:21Shot by Spezza, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  73. P3 18:12Shot by Campoli, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  74. P3 19:01Shot by Sarich, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 19:40Shot by Phillips, saved by Kiprusoff
  76. P3 0:00Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Mikkelson · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Regin, Smith, Butler

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Mikkelson: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Mikkelson · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Regin, Smith, Butler

  79. P3 0:00Final