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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 14, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver

Calgary Flames 9, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 82% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Goal by Moss (Regehr, Jokinen)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Liles, Porter, Shattenkirk, Duchene · CGY Jokinen, Regehr, Moss, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  3. P1 0:51Shot by Stewart, saved by Kiprusoff
  4. P1 0:56McLeod: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Dupuis, Hunwick, Yip, McLeod, Gaunce · CGY Staios, Jackman, Stajan, Babchuk, Bourque

  5. P1 1:24Shot by Jackman, saved by Budaj4v5
  6. P1 2:39Shot by Bourque, saved by Budaj4v5
  7. P1 4:00Shot by Backlund, saved by Budaj
  8. P1 4:53Shot by Stewart, saved by Kiprusoff
  9. P1 5:50Stewart: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Koci, Liles, Yip, Shattenkirk, O'Reilly · CGY Staios, Morrison, Iginla, Tanguay, Babchuk

  10. P1 5:57Goal by Babchuk (Bouwmeester, Jokinen)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Winnik, Stastny, Wilson · CGY Jokinen, Moss, Bouwmeester, Babchuk, Bourque

  11. P1 6:24Shot by Jokinen, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 9:26Shot by Porter, saved by Kiprusoff
  13. P1 10:32Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 11:03Shot by Staios, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 11:14Goal by Iginla (Bourque, Morrison)+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hunwick, Yip, McLeod, Stastny, Gaunce · CGY Morrison, Iginla, Regehr, Bouwmeester, Bourque

  16. P1 11:27Shot by Yip, saved by Kiprusoff
  17. P1 12:41Goal by Glencross (Jokinen, Moss)+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Yip, Winnik, Shattenkirk, O'Reilly · CGY Jokinen, Regehr, Moss, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  18. P1 13:19Shot by Staios, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 13:39Shot by Liles, saved by Kiprusoff
  20. P1 14:01Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 15:33Shot by Hunwick, saved by Kiprusoff
  22. P1 16:28Shot by Porter, saved by Kiprusoff
  23. P1 17:01Goal by Jokinen (Glencross, Moss)+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, O'Byrne, Porter, Wilson, Duchene · CGY Staios, Iginla, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  24. P1 0:00Dupuis: Kneeing (5 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Dupuis, Yip, McLeod, Wilson · CGY Staios, Jokinen, Moss, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  25. P1 0:00Dupuis: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Dupuis, Yip, McLeod, Wilson · CGY Staios, Jokinen, Moss, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:36Shot by Morrison, saved by Budaj4v5
  29. P2 0:42Shot by Iginla, saved by Budaj4v5
  30. P2 2:47Shot by Bourque, saved by Budaj4v5
  31. P2 4:48Shot by Staios, saved by Budaj4v5
  32. P2 9:12Giordano: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Liles, Jones, Porter, Stastny, Shattenkirk · CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Hagman, Moss, Giordano

  33. P2 9:19Shot by Jones, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  34. P2 10:30Shot by Stewart, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  35. P2 11:09Goal by Winnik (Porter, Hunwick)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Porter, Hunwick, Winnik, McLeod, Duchene · CGY Morrison, Regehr, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  36. P2 12:49Shot by Stastny, saved by Kiprusoff
  37. P2 14:03Shot by Porter, saved by Kiprusoff
  38. P2 14:37Shot by McLeod, saved by Kiprusoff
  39. P2 15:10Shot by Liles, saved by Kiprusoff
  40. P2 15:38Shot by Hagman, saved by Budaj
  41. P2 16:29Shot by Bourque, saved by Budaj
  42. P2 17:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Kiprusoff
  43. P2 19:13Shot by Glencross, saved by Budaj
  44. P2 19:53Shot by Hejduk, saved by Kiprusoff
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:40Goal by Tanguay (Regehr, Morrison)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Jones, Stastny, Stewart, Shattenkirk · CGY Morrison, Iginla, Sarich, Tanguay, Giordano

  48. P3 1:53Shot by Stajan, saved by Budaj
  49. P3 2:23Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Kiprusoff
  50. P3 2:57Goal by Glencross (Kostopoulos, Moss)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Koci, Liles, Porter, Shattenkirk, O'Reilly · CGY Staios, Kostopoulos, Moss, Babchuk, Glencross

  51. P3 4:24Shot by Moss, saved by Budaj
  52. P3 4:21Shot by Glencross, saved by Budaj
  53. P3 6:46Sarich: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Yip, McLeod, Stastny, Wilson, Gaunce · CGY Morrison, Iginla, Sarich, Moss, Giordano

  54. P3 9:16Goal by Iginla (Backlund, Staios)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Koci, Liles, O'Byrne, Jones, Porter · CGY Staios, Iginla, Tanguay, Regehr, Backlund

  55. P3 10:57Shot by Sarich, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 11:06Shot by Sarich, saved by Anderson5v6
  57. P3 11:16Shot by Hagman, saved by Anderson5v6
  58. P3 11:16Wilson: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Stastny, Stewart, Wilson, Shattenkirk · CGY Sarich, Hagman, Stajan, Giordano, Bourque, Backlund

  59. P3 12:11Shot by Glencross, saved by Anderson4v5
  60. P3 12:36Shot by Hunwick, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  61. P3 13:21Shot by Hagman, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 13:51Shot by Stastny, saved by Karlsson
  63. P3 14:24Shot by Koci, saved by Karlsson
  64. P3 16:26Shot by Yip, saved by Karlsson
  65. P3 16:36Shot by Jones, saved by Karlsson
  66. P3 17:44Shot by Backlund, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 18:08Moss: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hunwick, Winnik, McLeod, Stastny, Shattenkirk · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Tanguay, Moss, Giordano

  68. P3 18:55Goal by Stajan (Bourque)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Hunwick, Yip, McLeod, O'Reilly · CGY Sarich, Stajan, Giordano, Bourque

  69. P3 19:36Shot by Liles, saved by Karlsson5v4
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final