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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 16, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Hecht, saved by Giguere
  3. P1 2:36Brent: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · TOR Crabb, Brent, Phaneuf, Rosehill, Aulie

  4. P1 3:14Shot by Vanek, saved by Giguere5v4
  5. P1 5:10Shot by McCormick, saved by Giguere
  6. P1 7:47Shot by Hecht, saved by Giguere
  7. P1 9:17Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  8. P1 9:28Shot by Kaleta, saved by Giguere
  9. P1 9:55Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  10. P1 10:12Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  11. P1 12:58Shot by Stafford, saved by Giguere
  12. P1 13:05Shot by Hecht, saved by Giguere
  13. P1 14:22Lupul: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Leopold, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera · TOR Crabb, Brent, Phaneuf, Rosehill, Aulie

  14. P1 15:11Shot by Brent, saved by Miller5v4
  15. P1 16:27Grabovski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Butler, Gerbe, Myers, Ennis · TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie

  16. P1 16:47Shot by Stafford, saved by Giguere5v4
  17. P1 17:12Shot by Stafford, saved by Giguere5v4
  18. P1 19:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:29Shot by McCormick, saved by Reimer
  22. P2 0:52Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller
  23. P2 1:11Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 1:59Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 4:36Goal by Kessel (Kaberle, Lupul)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis · TOR Kaberle, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  26. P2 5:50Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 6:46Shot by Kaleta, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 8:23Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  29. P2 10:09Connolly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Vanek, Stafford, Butler, Myers · TOR Kaberle, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  30. P2 10:09Connolly: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Vanek, Stafford, Butler, Myers · TOR Kaberle, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  31. P2 10:09Lupul: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Vanek, Stafford, Butler, Myers · TOR Kaberle, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak

  32. P2 10:54Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v5
  33. P2 11:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v5
  34. P2 12:01Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller4v5
  35. P2 12:14Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  36. P2 12:54Shot by Sjostrom, saved by Miller
  37. P2 14:25Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  38. P2 14:39Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  39. P2 16:23Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 16:48Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 19:59Shot by Grier, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:47Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  45. P3 0:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  46. P3 2:03Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  47. P3 2:15Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  48. P3 2:51Shot by Crabb, saved by Miller
  49. P3 2:58Shot by Crabb, saved by Miller
  50. P3 3:49Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 4:44Gerbe: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Kaleta, Butler, Gerbe · TOR Sjostrom, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Hanson

  52. P3 5:10Gaustad: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Weber · TOR Kaberle, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  53. P3 5:44Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller3v5
  54. P3 5:59Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller3v5
  55. P3 6:16Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller3v5
  56. P3 6:49Shot by Kaberle, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P3 7:49Gunnarsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · TOR Sjostrom, Boyce, Aulie, Gunnarsson, Hanson

  58. P3 8:29Goal by Crabb (Brent)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Stafford · TOR Komisarek, Crabb, Brent, Phaneuf

  59. P3 10:20Goal by Gaustad (Stafford, Butler)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Vanek, Stafford · TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel

  60. P3 11:43Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 12:31Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  62. P3 12:38Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  63. P3 13:13Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  64. P3 14:03Shot by Boyce, saved by Miller
  65. P3 14:45Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  66. P3 15:40Shot by Grier, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 18:28Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 18:36Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer6v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final