Wed, Feb 16, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.
10%
78%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:31 | 0.14 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:50 | 0.04 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.49 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.08 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.06 | 53.8% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.31 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:14 | 0.57 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.09 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:46 | 1.05 | 53.4% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.34 | 64.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.07 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.01 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.09 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.10 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.05 | 20.5% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 8:32 | 0.18 | 52.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:17 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 0.85 | −0.2 | 40:00 | |
| – | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.78 | +0.8 | 20:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.02 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.03 | 61.6% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.14 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:09 | 0.26 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.09 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.23 | 45.7% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.05 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.15 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.03 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.01 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.11 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.34 | 63.4% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.11 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.02 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.04 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.59 | +0.6 | 58:28 |