Wed, Feb 16, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.
10%
78%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | Sjostrom–Boyce–Hanson | Crabb–Brent–Rosehill | Phaneuf–Aulie | Kaberle–Schenn | Komisarek–Gunnarsson | Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | Aulie–Schenn | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grier–Gaustad–McCormick | 4:060.21–0.08 | 0:510.00–0.05 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 5:050.21–0.18 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | |||
| Hecht–Pominville–Vanek | 2:210.10–0.35 | 3:550.07–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 2:450.11–0.35 | 2:320.06–0.00 | ||||
| Connolly–Vanek–Stafford | 2:040.00–0.09 | 1:180.02–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.14 | 0:580.00–0.03 | 0:450.02–0.00 | |||
| Connolly–Stafford–Ennis | 2:490.00–0.13 | 0:550.00–0.06 | 0:360.10–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.10 | 1:310.00–0.10 | 1:010.10–0.00 | |||
| Niedermayer–Kaleta–Gerbe | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.05 | 1:530.03–0.00 | 1:340.01–0.05 | 0:520.01–0.00 | 1:020.02–0.00 | |||
| Hecht–Pominville–Ennis | 0:570.00–0.03 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 1:250.00–0.03 | 1:080.04–0.00 | |||||
| Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe | 0:490.00–0.06 | 1:290.01–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 0:470.01–0.00 | ||||
| Grier–Gaustad–Gerbe | 0:350.08–0.00 | 1:220.08–0.00 | 0:360.23–0.00 | ||||||
| Hecht–Pominville–Gerbe | 0:550.04–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:270.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Niedermayer–McCormick–Kaleta | 1:060.01–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Niedermayer–Kaleta–Ennis | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Butler–Myers | 3:310.11–0.07 | 1:220.02–0.04 | 3:150.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 5:000.11–0.09 | 2:080.00–0.03 | 2:400.02–0.07 | ||
| Morrisonn–Weber | 3:210.00–0.17 | 3:390.12–0.13 | 1:130.03–0.03 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 2:550.05–0.06 | 4:580.13–0.15 | 1:280.04–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.01 | |
| Leopold–Sekera | 2:190.10–0.06 | 3:180.08–0.16 | 2:140.00–0.05 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 4:290.10–0.27 | 2:480.08–0.04 | 1:520.00–0.07 | 0:590.00–0.01 | |
| Leopold–Butler | 1:310.00–0.16 | 1:070.08–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.06 | 1:580.00–0.19 | 1:180.08–0.00 | 0:350.23–0.00 | |||
| Sekera–Myers | 1:300.00–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.35 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.03 | 1:240.02–0.35 | ||||
| Morrisonn–Myers | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | ||||
| Leopold–Weber | 0:530.04–0.00 | 1:230.17–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 33 | 26:31 | 0:48 | 2:38 | 5 | 5 |
 Keith AulieTOR | 30 | 23:50 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 4 | 4 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 27 | 23:17 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 6 | 4 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 30 | 23:17 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 5 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 32 | 23:00 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 3 | 6 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 27 | 20:40 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 5 | 6 |
 Tomas KaberleTOR | 26 | 19:35 | 0:45 | 2:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris ButlerBUF | 25 | 19:33 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 28 | 19:28 | 0:42 | 2:11 | 3 | 6 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 22 | 19:18 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 5 | 3 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 27 | 19:14 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 5 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 22 | 19:09 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 2 | 6 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 22 | 18:31 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 24 | 18:04 | 0:45 | 2:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 8 | 2 |
 Tim ConnollyBUF | 24 | 17:27 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 8 | 4 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 25 | 17:27 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 4 | 7 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 21 | 16:46 | 0:48 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 19 | 16:45 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 21 | 16:25 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 24 | 15:55 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |
 Shaone MorrisonnBUF | 23 | 15:54 | 0:41 | 1:40 | 1 | 4 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 18 | 15:43 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Fredrik SjostromTOR | 23 | 15:01 | 0:39 | 0:59 | 3 | 4 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 22 | 14:34 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 19 | 13:50 | 0:44 | 2:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Darryl BoyceTOR | 19 | 13:06 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 4 | 1 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 18 | 12:44 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |
 Mike GrierBUF | 16 | 12:35 | 0:47 | 2:09 | 0 | 4 |
 Christian HansonTOR | 16 | 11:25 | 0:43 | 0:56 | 3 | 1 |
 Rob NiedermayerBUF | 10 | 9:43 | 0:58 | 1:50 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 11 | 9:21 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 11 | 9:12 | 0:50 | 2:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Tim BrentTOR | 15 | 9:07 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 15 | 8:32 | 0:34 | 0:56 | 1 | 1 |
 Jay RosehillTOR | 10 | 5:17 | 0:32 | 0:48 | 0 | 0 |