Wed, Feb 23, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Atlanta Thrashers 1, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
- P1 0:52Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller
- P1 2:37Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
- P1 4:27Shot by Antropov, saved by Miller
- P1 4:50Shot by Butler, saved by Pavelec
- P1 5:34Shot by Machacek, saved by Miller
- P1 6:01Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P1 6:15Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P1 7:13Goal by Myers, unassisted+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Stafford, Butler, Myers · ATL Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane
- P1 7:36Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
- P1 9:50Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller
- P1 10:28Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
- P1 11:02Shot by Connolly, saved by Pavelec
- P1 11:06Byfuglien: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Stafford · ATL Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane
- P1 11:29Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 11:31Shot by Connolly, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 11:41Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P1 13:22Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
- P1 14:35Pominville: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Stafford · ATL Boulton, Antropov, Oduya, Machacek, Bogosian
- P1 15:57Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller4v5
- P1 18:17Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
- P1 18:37Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Pavelec
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:35Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
- P2 1:12Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec
- P2 1:30Shot by Butler, saved by Pavelec
- P2 1:44Shot by McCormick, saved by Pavelec
- P2 1:57Enstrom: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Leopold, Montador, McCormick · ATL Thorburn, Rissmiller, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Bergfors
- P2 2:22Shot by Connolly, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P2 2:52Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 2:54Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 4:26Shot by Myers, saved by Pavelec
- P2 5:04Shot by Kaleta, saved by Pavelec
- P2 5:18Morrisonn: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Kaleta, Weber · ATL Hainsey, Thorburn, Stuart, Enstrom, Ladd
- P2 5:30Shot by Little, saved by Miller4v5
- P2 5:31Goal by Ladd (Little, Antropov)4v5+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Grier, Connolly, Leopold, Montador · ATL Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little
- P2 5:45Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
- P2 7:30Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller
- P2 7:58Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
- P2 8:00Shot by Machacek, saved by Miller
- P2 9:22Gaustad: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · ATL Antropov, Oduya, Stuart, Stewart, Kane
- P2 9:22Stuart: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · ATL Antropov, Oduya, Stuart, Stewart, Kane
- P2 9:31Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec
- P2 9:34Shot by Hecht, saved by Pavelec
- P2 9:41Shot by Hecht, saved by Pavelec
- P2 9:49Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P2 10:32Shot by Rissmiller, saved by Miller
- P2 10:39Thorburn: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · ATL Hainsey, Thorburn, Rissmiller, Bergfors, Bogosian
- P2 10:46Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 10:49Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P2 11:14Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 11:58Shot by Hecht, saved by Pavelec5v4
- P2 12:17Shot by Little, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 13:08McCormick: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Morrisonn, McCormick, Myers · ATL Boulton, Thorburn, Oduya, Machacek, Bogosian
- P2 13:08Boulton: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Morrisonn, McCormick, Myers · ATL Boulton, Thorburn, Oduya, Machacek, Bogosian
- P2 14:00Shot by Butler, saved by Pavelec
- P2 14:10Butler: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Hecht, Montador, Pominville, Vanek, Butler · ATL Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Little, Machacek
- P2 14:09Shot by Hecht, saved by Pavelec
- P2 15:41Shot by Bergfors, saved by Miller4v5
- P2 16:11Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller
- P2 16:13Shot by Rissmiller, saved by Miller
- P2 17:26Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
- P2 18:50Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
- P2 18:52Goal by Gaustad (Gerbe, Weber)+26 pts WP
On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · ATL Antropov, Stuart, Stewart, Enstrom, Kane
- P2 19:03Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec
- P2 19:20Shot by Myers, saved by Pavelec
- P2 19:22Goal by Pominville (Vanek, Myers)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · ATL Antropov, Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:09Shot by Connolly, saved by Pavelec
- P3 1:46Shot by Butler, saved by Pavelec
- P3 1:51Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
- P3 1:54Goal by Ennis (Hecht, Butler)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hecht, Montador, Stafford, Butler, Ennis · ATL Thorburn, Rissmiller, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Bergfors
- P3 2:34Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller
- P3 3:11Shot by Kaleta, saved by Pavelec
- P3 3:57Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
- P3 6:35Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec
- P3 7:04Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
- P3 7:22Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
- P3 7:36Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec
- P3 8:06Shot by Hecht, saved by Pavelec
- P3 8:48Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
- P3 9:10Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller
- P3 10:30Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller
- P3 11:04Gerbe: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Montador, Pominville, Kaleta, Butler, Gerbe · ATL Oduya, Rissmiller, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Little
- P3 13:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
- P3 14:14Shot by Kaleta, saved by Pavelec
- P3 14:23Shot by Kaleta, saved by Pavelec
- P3 17:23Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller
- P3 18:15Shot by Little, saved by Miller
- P3 18:49Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
- P3 18:50Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
- P3 19:00Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller
- P3 19:40Shot by Bogosian, saved by Miller
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final