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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 23, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Atlanta Thrashers 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.

BUF winsATL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ATL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Antropov–Stewart–KaneLadd–Wheeler–LittleThorburn–Rissmiller–BergforsBoulton–Stapleton–MachacekThorburn–Rissmiller–StewartStapleton–Machacek–KaneEnstrom–ByfuglienHainsey–BogosianOduya–StuartOduya–BogosianHainsey–ByfuglienOduya–Byfuglien
Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe2:010.37–0.082:230.21–0.002:380.01–0.041:270.08–0.001:370.00–0.093:340.20–0.033:470.21–0.000:460.06–0.00
Niedermayer–Grier–McCormick1:140.00–0.030:370.00–0.021:490.03–0.022:140.02–0.110:550.05–0.002:390.03–0.032:210.08–0.001:510.00–0.13
Connolly–Pominville–Vanek1:440.53–0.041:410.25–0.020:350.00–0.072:440.77–0.070:550.00–0.070:430.00–0.00
Hecht–Vanek–Ennis0:440.03–0.112:310.10–0.111:040.03–0.243:040.10–0.22
Hecht–Stafford–Ennis2:090.19–0.001:210.35–0.060:310.48–0.001:090.80–0.060:540.10–0.001:540.11–0.00
Connolly–Pominville–Stafford1:570.05–0.181:140.07–0.000:530.00–0.022:310.05–0.040:500.00–0.160:430.07–0.00
Niedermayer–Gaustad–Kaleta
Niedermayer–Grier–Gaustad0:510.09–0.000:570.09–0.00
Morrisonn–Weber2:570.19–0.333:510.42–0.092:100.12–0.022:010.16–0.000:310.00–0.003:150.51–0.133:250.10–0.223:360.06–0.021:070.09–0.070:500.06–0.000:340.00–0.10
Leopold–Montador1:220.05–0.002:210.10–0.121:140.03–0.070:520.03–0.080:430.04–0.002:480.08–0.312:010.12–0.101:330.00–0.11
Butler–Myers1:590.02–0.111:280.07–0.081:130.01–0.021:510.02–0.033:030.02–0.131:570.04–0.112:140.07–0.01
Montador–Butler3:350.30–0.080:570.15–0.001:100.48–0.001:480.77–0.042:140.19–0.002:390.26–0.030:310.00–0.00
Leopold–Myers0:540.60–0.002:240.25–0.102:060.00–0.071:040.00–0.002:360.59–0.024:070.05–0.15
Morrisonn–Myers
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVanek FHecht FEnnis FPominville FConnolly FStafford FGerbe FGaustad FKaleta FMcCormick FNiedermayer FGrier FLeopold DMontador DWeber DMorrisonn DMyers DButler DMiller GLittle FLadd FWheeler FKane FStewart FAntropov FRissmiller FBergfors FThorburn FStapleton FBoulton FMachacek FBogosian DHainsey DByfuglien DEnstrom DStuart DOduya DPavelec G
BUFATLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach BogosianATL2923:040:481:2256
Dustin ByfuglienATL2222:081:002:3754
Jordan LeopoldBUF2521:570:531:5625
Toby EnstromATL2321:510:571:5442
Tyler MyersBUF2421:430:541:4316
Ron HainseyATL2820:410:441:5035
Chris ButlerBUF2219:220:531:1904
Johnny OduyaATL2518:590:461:3635
Andrew LaddATL2918:350:381:52117
Shaone MorrisonnBUF2418:200:461:3533
Evander KaneATL2718:160:411:1152
Mike WeberBUF2318:070:471:3543
Steve MontadorBUF2317:490:461:3115
Paul GaustadBUF2317:450:461:3838
Bryan LittleATL2917:400:371:2096
Nik AntropovATL2317:340:461:4452
Nathan GerbeBUF2016:500:511:3725
Anthony StewartATL2616:490:391:0042
Tim ConnollyBUF2216:470:461:3935
Jochen HechtBUF2316:090:421:0504
Jason PominvilleBUF2315:520:411:3943
Chris ThorburnATL2315:430:411:4633
Tyler EnnisBUF1915:410:501:3703
Thomas VanekBUF2015:220:461:1743
Blake WheelerATL2715:020:331:0173
Mark StuartATL1914:450:471:3932
Drew StaffordBUF1914:380:461:3933
Patrick KaletaBUF1813:450:461:3724
Rob NiedermayerBUF1713:440:481:1932
Patrick RissmillerATL1913:070:411:4632
Niclas BergforsATL1911:570:381:0622
Mike GrierBUF1711:400:411:0837
Spencer MachacekATL1310:070:471:2231
Tim StapletonATL159:100:370:5633
Eric BoultonATL128:320:431:2221
Cody McCormickBUF118:160:451:2221