Sun, Feb 27, 2011·Philips Arena, Atlanta
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Atlanta Thrashers 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 84% of the time.
80%
10%
ATL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:43 | 0.02 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:08 | 0.00 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.03 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.02 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:55 | 0.34 | 42.7% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.79 | 35.3% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.49 | 44.3% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.34 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.13 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.21 | 43.9% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.04 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.05 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.02 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.04 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:42 | 0.15 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.86 | +1.9 | 36:04 | |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.50 | +0.5 | 26:27 |
Atlanta Thrashers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:22 | 0.09 | 52.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 24:25 | 0.57 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:47 | 0.63 | 88.1% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:46 | 0.41 | 95.8% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:20 | 0.89 | 87.3% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:58 | 0.99 | 86.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.04 | 56.7% | +53.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.11 | 74.7% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.07 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.08 | 69.6% | +38.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.68 | 87.2% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:16 | 0.13 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.12 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.15 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.04 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.16 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:26 | 0.20 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.69 | +0.7 | 62:07 |