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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 11, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Ohlund, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 1:29Shot by Greening, saved by Roloson
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Clark, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 3:08Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  6. P1 5:10Shot by Ohlund, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 7:06Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Hedman · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Smith

  9. P1 9:00Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney5v4
  10. P1 9:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  11. P1 9:49Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Hall, Thompson, Tyrell · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Smith, Butler

  12. P1 10:35Goal by Spezza (Shannon, Karlsson)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Moore, Bergenheim · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Shannon, Karlsson, Butler

  13. P1 12:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  14. P1 12:11Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  15. P1 12:18Shot by Condra, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 13:06Shot by Thompson, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 17:46Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson
  18. P1 17:53Shot by Condra, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 18:09Lecavalier: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Smaby, Stamkos, Hedman · OTT Phillips, Svatos, Shannon, Lee, Condra

  20. P1 19:28Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:28Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson
  24. P2 0:53Goal by Butler (Gonchar, Greening)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Moore, Bergenheim, Tyrell · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Smith, Butler

  25. P2 1:39Bergeron: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Lundin, Stamkos · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith

  26. P2 3:22Shot by Smith, saved by Roloson4v5
  27. P2 5:04Shot by St. Louis, saved by McElhinney
  28. P2 6:11Shot by Smith, saved by Roloson
  29. P2 6:42Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney
  30. P2 7:40Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman · OTT Phillips, Lee, Foligno, Smith, Butler

  31. P2 8:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson4v5
  32. P2 9:16Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson4v5
  33. P2 9:47Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  34. P2 10:36Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 13:20Hall: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Hall, Moore, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Hedman · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Shannon, Condra, Smith, Butler

  36. P2 15:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 16:19Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  38. P2 16:41Shot by Gagne, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 16:54Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 18:02Shot by Lundin, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 19:21Shot by Smith, saved by Roloson
  42. P2 19:58Shot by Bergenheim, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:06Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson
  46. P3 2:15Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hall, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Thompson, Hedman · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Smith

  47. P3 2:15Winchester: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Hall, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Thompson, Hedman · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Smith

  48. P3 2:24Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney5v3
  49. P3 2:56Goal by St. Louis (Purcell, Stamkos)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Stamkos · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Spezza

  50. P3 3:55Shot by Gagne, saved by McElhinney5v4
  51. P3 5:36Shot by Ohlund, saved by McElhinney
  52. P3 6:08Thompson: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Thompson, Tyrell · OTT Neil, Foligno, Smith, Winchester, Karlsson

  53. P3 7:38Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson4v5
  54. P3 7:55Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson4v5
  55. P3 12:28Butler: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Gagne, Purcell, Tyrell, Hedman · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Lee, Greening, Butler

  56. P3 12:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney5v4
  57. P3 12:58Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney5v4
  58. P3 13:00Shot by Gagne, saved by McElhinney5v4
  59. P3 13:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney5v4
  60. P3 13:26Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney5v4
  61. P3 14:18Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney5v4
  62. P3 14:30Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  63. P3 14:45Shot by Bergenheim, saved by McElhinney
  64. P3 14:46Butler: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Moore, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Purcell, Hedman · OTT Kuba, Greening, Winchester, Karlsson, Butler

  65. P3 15:48Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney5v4
  66. P3 16:43Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney5v4
  67. P3 17:06Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 17:20Shot by Lundin, saved by McElhinney
  69. P3 18:35Shot by Hedman, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 19:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney6v5
  71. P3 19:16Shot by Bergeron, saved by McElhinney6v5
  72. P3 19:38Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney6v5
  73. P3 19:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney6v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final