Fri, Mar 11, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
67%
9%
16%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 25:13 | 0.17 | 33.6% | +18.3 |
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:53 | 0.11 | 52.6% | +18.3 |
 Filip KubaD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Sergei GoncharD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.03 | 37.0% | +14.6 |
 Chris PhillipsD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:52 | 0.00 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ShannonRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 39.0% | +18.3 |
 Bobby ButlerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.24 | 37.8% | +14.6 |
 Brian LeeD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik CondraRW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.14 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.09 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.27 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick FolignoLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Marek SvatosRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:54 | 0.28 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
 Derek SmithD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.02 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.06 | 38.9% | +14.6 |
 Jesse WinchesterC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.05 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan PotulnyC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:04 | 0.00 | 72.1% | 0.0 |
 Francis LessardRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:49 | 0.06 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Curtis McElhinney#31 | W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 2.87 | +1.9 | 59:35 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:03 | 0.56 | 73.3% | +13.4 |
 Vincent LecavalierC · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 0.83 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Dominic MooreC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:41 | 0.28 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.40 | 74.5% | +13.4 |
 Brett ClarkD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.03 | 16.9% | 0.0 |
 Simon GagneLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:06 | 0.10 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.07 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Sean BergenheimLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.25 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Mattias OhlundD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.05 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Mike LundinD · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.06 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.04 | 56.0% | +13.4 |
 Adam HallRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.09 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.08 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Dana TyrellC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:44 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt SmabyD · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Blair JonesC · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:32 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Dwayne Roloson#35 | L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 1.52 | −0.5 | 58:49 |