Fri, Mar 11, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
67%
9%
16%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Spezza–Greening–Butler | Svatos–Shannon–Condra | Neil–Foligno–Smith | Lessard–Potulny–Winchester | Neil–Smith–Winchester | Neil–Foligno–Winchester | Spezza–Potulny–Butler | Spezza–Greening–Smith | Svatos–Condra–Winchester | Phillips–Lee | Kuba–Karlsson | Gonchar–Smith | Gonchar–Kuba | Kuba–Smith | Phillips–Karlsson | Kuba–Lee | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 1:000.00–0.08 | 2:370.00–0.04 | 4:010.17–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:570.10–0.00 | 7:260.23–0.12 | 2:020.03–0.08 | 1:220.11–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Gagne–Moore–Purcell | 2:170.24–0.02 | 1:390.02–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.10 | 1:080.02–0.00 | 1:470.12–0.10 | 2:020.01–0.02 | 0:430.11–0.02 | ||||||||
| Hall–Bergenheim–Thompson | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.19 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:280.00–0.11 | ||||||||||
| Moore–Jones–Tyrell | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.09 | 1:420.02–0.09 | |||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Moore–Stamkos | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 0:380.09–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hall–Moore–Bergenheim | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Lecavalier–Gagne–Purcell | 0:430.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||
| Gagne–Purcell–Tyrell | 0:410.00–0.08 | |||||||||||||||
| Gagne–Jones–Purcell | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Moore–Bergenheim–Purcell | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ohlund–Brewer | 5:020.34–0.18 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:300.11–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.08 | 1:460.12–0.04 | 2:430.12–0.14 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 1:070.02–0.00 | 0:430.11–0.02 | |||||||
| Bergeron–Lundin | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:330.00–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:270.13–0.08 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.11 | 0:380.09–0.00 | |||||||
| Clark–Hedman | 2:020.00–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.10 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 2:140.02–0.20 | 1:230.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bergeron–Hedman | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:520.11–0.08 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:380.10–0.00 | 1:070.11–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Clark–Lundin | 1:560.04–0.00 | 2:110.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Clark–Smaby | 1:080.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Brewer–Lundin | 1:140.00–0.05 | 1:140.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| Smaby–Hedman | 0:400.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||
| Clark–Bergeron | 1:030.00–0.04 | 1:000.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 28 | 25:13 | 0:54 | 2:12 | 9 | 7 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 24:53 | 0:55 | 2:09 | 5 | 6 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 24:03 | 1:06 | 2:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 23 | 23:39 | 1:02 | 2:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 32 | 22:41 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 4 | 6 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 23 | 22:27 | 0:59 | 1:57 | 4 | 2 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 27 | 22:25 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 1 | 8 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 23 | 21:03 | 0:55 | 2:12 | 11 | 1 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 24 | 20:52 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 1 | 5 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 24 | 20:07 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 3 | 2 |
 Simon GagneTBL | 21 | 19:06 | 0:55 | 2:17 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 22 | 18:52 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 6 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 18:21 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 23 | 18:21 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 8 | 3 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 24 | 18:15 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 2 | 8 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 24 | 18:00 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 6 | 2 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 21 | 17:46 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 1 | 4 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 19 | 17:00 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 1 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 21 | 16:42 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 3 | 5 |
 Sean BergenheimTBL | 21 | 15:48 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Mattias OhlundTBL | 20 | 15:39 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 7 |
 Mike LundinTBL | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 20 | 15:06 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 19 | 14:28 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 18 | 13:52 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Marek SvatosOTT | 17 | 12:54 | 0:46 | 0:59 | 0 | 0 |
 Derek SmithOTT | 16 | 12:44 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 5 | 0 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 18 | 12:23 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 3 | 5 |
 Adam HallTBL | 22 | 12:20 | 0:34 | 0:56 | 2 | 8 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 16 | 12:09 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 19 | 12:01 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 4 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 12 | 7:44 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 0 | 3 |
 Matt SmabyTBL | 9 | 6:29 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan PotulnyOTT | 7 | 6:04 | 0:52 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Blair JonesTBL | 6 | 4:32 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Francis LessardOTT | 5 | 2:49 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 0 | 0 |