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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 14, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Grabovski, saved by Roloson
  3. P1 2:07Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 3:41Bergenheim: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Hedman

  5. P1 3:41Kessel: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Gagne, Bergenheim, Hedman

  6. P1 4:00Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson4v4
  7. P1 4:08Shot by Gagne, saved by Reimer4v4
  8. P1 6:10Shot by Ritola, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 6:12Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 6:23Lundin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Lebda, Kessel, Bozak · TBL Brewer, Moore, Lundin, Ritola, Tyrell

  11. P1 6:50Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson5v4
  12. P1 7:27Bergenheim: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Brent, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · TBL Clark, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman

  13. P1 7:27Grabovski: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Brent, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · TBL Clark, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman

  14. P1 9:16Shot by Crabb, saved by Roloson
  15. P1 9:53Goal by Thompson (Purcell, Clark)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Lebda, Brown, Schenn, Bozak · TBL Brewer, Gagne, Thompson, Lundin, Purcell

  16. P1 10:17Shot by Kulemin, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 12:51Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 14:37Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 14:51Shot by Gagne, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 14:56Shot by Moore, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 15:05Shot by Grabovski, saved by Roloson
  22. P1 15:13Shot by Hall, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 15:11Shot by Clark, saved by Reimer
  24. P1 16:45Shot by Brewer, saved by Reimer
  25. P1 19:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  26. P1 19:32Shot by Crabb, saved by Roloson
  27. P1 19:58Brewer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · TBL Clark, Brewer, Gagne, Hall, Thompson

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:13Shot by Lundin, saved by Reimer5v4
  31. P2 0:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson5v4
  32. P2 0:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson5v4
  33. P2 1:41Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Roloson5v4
  34. P2 3:50Shot by Komisarek, saved by Roloson
  35. P2 4:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 5:12Goal by Phaneuf (Brent, Lupul)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Brent, Phaneuf, Brown, Aulie · TBL Bergeron, Bergenheim, Jones, Tyrell, Hedman

  37. P2 5:41Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 5:57Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 7:24Shot by Komisarek, saved by Roloson
  40. P2 8:49Shot by Moore, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 9:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 9:24Shot by Ritola, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 9:25Goal by Ritola (Hall, Thompson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Lebda, Kessel, Bozak · TBL Ohlund, Clark, Hall, Thompson, Ritola

  44. P2 10:14Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 11:10Shot by Crabb, saved by Roloson
  46. P2 12:34Goal by Ritola (Purcell, Clark)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Brent, Brown, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Clark, Brewer, Thompson, Ritola, Purcell

  47. P2 12:54Shot by Clark, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 14:37Goal by Kulemin, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · TBL St. Louis, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman

  49. P2 15:18Ohlund: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · TBL Ohlund, Clark, Hall, Thompson, Ritola

  50. P2 15:49Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson5v4
  51. P2 18:53Goal by Lecavalier (Gagne, Clark)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Lupul, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Bozak · TBL Ohlund, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman

  52. P2 19:15Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:22Shot by Moore, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 1:32Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 2:04Shot by Lundin, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 2:33Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson
  59. P3 3:58Shot by Ritola, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 4:42Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson
  61. P3 5:30Shot by Sjostrom, saved by Roloson
  62. P3 6:30Shot by Grabovski, saved by Roloson
  63. P3 7:29Shot by Ritola, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 8:47Goal by Moore (St. Louis, Stamkos)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · TBL Ohlund, Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Stamkos

  65. P3 9:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  66. P3 10:35Shot by Komisarek, saved by Roloson
  67. P3 10:43Shot by Tyrell, saved by Giguere
  68. P3 11:25Shot by Grabovski, saved by Roloson
  69. P3 11:51Shot by Komisarek, saved by Roloson
  70. P3 12:26Shot by Komisarek, saved by Roloson
  71. P3 13:35Shot by Tyrell, saved by Giguere
  72. P3 13:56Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Giguere
  73. P3 14:32Goal by Lundin (Stamkos, St. Louis)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Boyce, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Schenn · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Moore, Lundin, Stamkos

  74. P3 17:07Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Giguere
  75. P3 17:34Shot by Moore, saved by Giguere
  76. P3 17:44Shot by Grabovski, saved by Roloson
  77. P3 17:49Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Roloson
  78. P3 17:51Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson
  79. P3 18:43Shot by Schenn, saved by Roloson
  80. P3 19:31Shot by Jones, saved by Giguere
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final