Mon, Mar 14, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
26%
8%
11%
55%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:34 | 0.03 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.01 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:49 | 0.04 | 37.6% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.02 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.06 | 83.5% | +47.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:07 | 0.43 | 53.1% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.06 | 40.1% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.20 | 83.7% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.06 | 67.7% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.02 | 46.0% | +3.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 14:44 | 0.20 | 81.2% | +44.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.44 | 75.6% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.02 | 69.0% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:49 | 0.09 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.06 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.04 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 10:22 | 0.93 | 79.8% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.03 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 1.96 | 0.0 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:49 | 0.20 | 25.5% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:50 | 0.13 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.03 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 20:30 | 0.27 | 16.8% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:15 | 0.35 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:34 | 0.21 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.21 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.29 | 54.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.10 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:08 | 0.08 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 70.6% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.01 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.07 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 2.47 | −2.5 | 48:47 | |
| – | 7 | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.26 | −0.7 | 11:13 |