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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Atlanta Thrashers 2, Buffalo Sabres 8

Away

Atlanta Thrashers

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.

BUF winsATL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Goal by Pominville (Connolly, Myers)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · ATL Enstrom, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian

  3. P1 0:59Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:26Shot by Mancari, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 1:38Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
  6. P1 2:43Shot by Boulton, saved by Miller
  7. P1 3:34Shot by Enstrom, saved by Miller
  8. P1 4:09Shot by Boyes, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 6:15Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller
  10. P1 7:02Leopold: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Montador, Stafford, Ennis · ATL Dvorak, Enstrom, Stapleton, Bogosian, Kane

  11. P1 7:02Shot by Kane, saved by Millerother
  12. P1 8:06Goal by Thorburn, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Leopold, Montador, McCormick · ATL Antropov, Hainsey, Thorburn, Stewart, Byfuglien

  13. P1 8:53Stewart: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Montador, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · ATL Stewart, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little

  14. P1 9:52Ladd: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Vanek, Stafford, Myers, Ennis · ATL Hainsey, Stuart, Ladd, Little

  15. P1 9:59Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec5v3
  16. P1 10:03Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec5v3
  17. P1 10:23Shot by Pominville, saved by Pavelec5v3
  18. P1 11:35Shot by Dvorak, saved by Miller5v4
  19. P1 11:56Goal by Mancari (Myers, Gerbe)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers · ATL Hainsey, Stuart, Stewart, Kane

  20. P1 13:11Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 13:35Shot by Vanek, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 14:25Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  23. P1 15:09Goal by Niedermayer (Butler, Weber)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Butler, Weber · ATL Antropov, Thorburn, Stewart, Enstrom, Bogosian

  24. P1 17:41Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:01Shot by Butler, saved by Pavelec6v5
  26. P1 18:12Bogosian: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Pominville, Mancari, Butler, Gerbe, Weber · ATL Dvorak, Enstrom, Stapleton, Bogosian, Kane

  27. P1 19:34Vanek: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Butler · ATL Dvorak, Stuart, Enstrom, Little

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:27Shot by Montador, saved by Mason4v5
  31. P2 1:51Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller
  32. P2 3:06Shot by Thorburn, saved by Miller
  33. P2 3:33Shot by Oduya, saved by Miller
  34. P2 4:20Shot by Little, saved by Miller
  35. P2 4:44Goal by Burmistrov (Stewart, Hainsey)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Vanek, Butler, Weber · ATL Boulton, Hainsey, Stewart, Bogosian, Burmistrov

  36. P2 5:58Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
  37. P2 10:36Shot by Little, saved by Miller
  38. P2 10:40Shot by Hainsey, saved by Miller
  39. P2 11:09Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mason
  40. P2 11:10Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mason
  41. P2 11:11Goal by Gerbe (Mancari, Weber)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Mancari, Butler, Gerbe, Weber · ATL Boulton, Hainsey, Stewart, Bogosian, Burmistrov

  42. P2 11:08Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mason
  43. P2 12:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Mason
  44. P2 12:30Shot by Antropov, saved by Miller
  45. P2 13:01Goal by Ennis, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Sekera, Myers, Ennis · ATL Hainsey, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian

  46. P2 15:58Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Miller
  47. P2 16:35Shot by Stafford, saved by Mason
  48. P2 19:24Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
  49. P2 19:26Shot by Wheeler, saved by Miller
  50. P2 19:46Mancari: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers · ATL Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:34Shot by Grier, saved by Mason4v5
  54. P3 1:48Shot by Grier, saved by Mason
  55. P3 1:53Shot by Boyes, saved by Mason
  56. P3 1:55Dvorak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Grier, Boyes, Mancari, Butler, Weber · ATL Dvorak, Byfuglien, Schremp, Bogosian, Kane

  57. P3 2:56Shot by Ladd, saved by Miller5v4
  58. P3 3:27Goal by Boyes (Mancari, Sekera)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Pominville, Sekera, Mancari, Myers · ATL Thorburn, Oduya, Bogosian, Burmistrov

  59. P3 4:42Shot by Kane, saved by Miller
  60. P3 4:44Shot by Schremp, saved by Miller
  61. P3 5:19Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
  62. P3 5:24Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Gerbe · ATL Hainsey, Stewart, Enstrom, Schremp, Kane

  63. P3 5:24Gerbe: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Gerbe · ATL Hainsey, Stewart, Enstrom, Schremp, Kane

  64. P3 5:38Shot by Boyes, saved by Mason4v4
  65. P3 6:17Shot by Little, saved by Miller4v4
  66. P3 7:00Wheeler: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Vanek, Butler, Weber · ATL Antropov, Oduya, Wheeler, Bogosian

  67. P3 7:26Vanek: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Vanek, Stafford, Gerbe · ATL Hainsey, Thorburn, Oduya, Kane

  68. P3 7:36Shot by Gaustad, saved by Mason4v4
  69. P3 9:15Shot by Schremp, saved by Miller4v5
  70. P3 10:37Shot by Stafford, saved by Mason
  71. P3 15:23Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
  72. P3 16:35Ennis: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Butler, Weber, Ennis · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Schremp, Kane, Burmistrov

  73. P3 16:35Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Butler, Weber, Ennis · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Schremp, Kane, Burmistrov

  74. P3 16:35Ennis: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Butler, Weber, Ennis · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Schremp, Kane, Burmistrov

  75. P3 16:35Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Butler, Weber, Ennis · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Schremp, Kane, Burmistrov

  76. P3 16:52Goal by Niedermayer (Myers, Grier)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  77. P3 16:52Schremp: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  78. P3 16:52Byfuglien: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · ATL Hainsey, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  79. P3 17:20Goal by Connolly (Pominville, Vanek)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Vanek · ATL Dvorak, Thorburn, Oduya, Bogosian

  80. P3 19:11Shot by Enstrom, saved by Miller
  81. P3 19:40Montador: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Leopold, Boyes, Montador, Stafford · ATL Boulton, Antropov, Enstrom, Schremp, Bogosian

  82. P3 19:46Shot by Enstrom, saved by Miller4v5
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final