Sat, Mar 19, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Atlanta Thrashers 2, Buffalo Sabres 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
65%
21%
BUF winsATL wins
Atlanta Thrashers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 23:23 | 0.04 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.20 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.01 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.06 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.17 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.10 | 36.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.29 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.18 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.13 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:47 | 0.66 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.15 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.37 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.07 | 59.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.11 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.02 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.02 | 14.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:38 | 0.06 | 35.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.08 | 15.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 11 | 8 | 3 | .727 | 1.28 | −1.7 | 20:00 | |
| – | 17 | 12 | 5 | .706 | 2.83 | −2.2 | 40:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 23:35 | 0.02 | 68.4% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 74.5% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.03 | 72.5% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.06 | 74.1% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.38 | 50.2% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.71 | 34.7% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.11 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:37 | 0.80 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.06 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.26 | 72.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.02 | 1.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.12 | 24.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.31 | 91.8% | +35.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 12:42 | 1.01 | 67.5% | +33.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.19 | 33.7% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.70 | +0.7 | 59:46 |