Sat, Mar 19, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Atlanta Thrashers 2, Buffalo Sabres 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
65%
21%
BUF winsATL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ATL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ladd–Wheeler–Little | Dvorak–Stapleton–Kane | Antropov–Thorburn–Schremp | Boulton–Stewart–Burmistrov | Boulton–Schremp–Burmistrov | Antropov–Thorburn–Stewart | Antropov–Stewart–Stapleton | Dvorak–Ladd–Little | Stewart–Schremp–Kane | Oduya–Stuart | Hainsey–Byfuglien | Enstrom–Bogosian | Enstrom–Byfuglien | Oduya–Bogosian | Hainsey–Bogosian | Oduya–Byfuglien | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaustad–Mancari–Gerbe | 1:090.02–0.03 | 1:520.00–0.01 | 2:170.98–0.00 | 1:230.06–0.01 | 3:380.08–0.05 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:310.98–0.00 | ||||||
| Connolly–Pominville–Vanek | 2:270.28–0.06 | 2:480.15–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 1:340.31–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.06 | 1:320.12–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.09 | 1:150.16–0.02 | |||||
| Niedermayer–Grier–McCormick | 2:180.11–0.12 | 1:180.03–0.15 | 2:250.02–0.08 | 0:470.01–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:360.03–0.15 | 1:350.11–0.13 | 1:170.01–0.00 | 1:480.04–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.08 | ||||||
| Boyes–Stafford–Ennis | 1:570.19–0.25 | 2:290.00–0.38 | 1:210.09–0.04 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 2:290.09–0.18 | 2:320.11–0.37 | 1:230.00–0.06 | 0:310.19–0.07 | ||||||||
| Niedermayer–Boyes–Stafford | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| Boyes–Vanek–Stafford | 0:520.00–0.13 | 0:310.00–0.12 | ||||||||||||||
| Butler–Weber | 0:370.00–0.10 | 2:230.00–0.19 | 0:570.03–0.15 | 0:400.98–0.02 | 1:110.02–0.00 | 2:090.07–0.01 | 2:590.09–0.16 | 1:190.00–0.27 | 2:480.11–0.00 | 1:360.26–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.06 | 1:210.98–0.03 | ||||
| Sekera–Myers | 3:390.60–0.13 | 2:010.15–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 3:430.33–0.04 | 2:250.11–0.03 | 1:500.12–0.01 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 1:170.35–0.15 | |||||
| Leopold–Montador | 2:360.00–0.18 | 2:330.00–0.41 | 1:120.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.42 | 1:590.00–0.00 | 3:030.00–0.22 | 2:300.02–0.40 | 1:190.00–0.08 | 0:590.00–0.39 | |||||
| Leopold–Myers | 0:320.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:390.09–0.00 | 1:070.09–0.10 | 1:190.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Sekera–Weber | 1:340.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Butler–Myers | 1:070.00–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Leopold–Weber | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFATLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tyler MyersBUF | 31 | 23:35 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 2 | 5 |
 Zach BogosianATL | 29 | 23:23 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 5 | 4 |
 Dustin ByfuglienATL | 28 | 23:15 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 7 | 1 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 27 | 21:34 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Johnny OduyaATL | 25 | 21:33 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 3 | 6 |
 Toby EnstromATL | 28 | 20:51 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 27 | 20:17 | 0:45 | 2:17 | 1 | 6 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 26 | 19:10 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Chris ButlerBUF | 25 | 18:19 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Andrew LaddATL | 23 | 18:16 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 2 |
 Ron HainseyATL | 28 | 17:35 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 4 | 4 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 22 | 17:25 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 4 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 20 | 17:05 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 4 | 2 |
 Bryan LittleATL | 23 | 17:01 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 20 | 16:37 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Blake WheelerATL | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 4 | 0 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:55 | 1 | 6 |
 Tim ConnollyBUF | 22 | 15:12 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Radek DvorakATL | 21 | 14:50 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Evander KaneATL | 18 | 14:47 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Nik AntropovATL | 18 | 14:28 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Rob SchrempATL | 17 | 14:25 | 0:51 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Steve MontadorBUF | 19 | 14:19 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Chris ThorburnATL | 21 | 13:41 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 4 | 8 |
 Rob NiedermayerBUF | 16 | 13:33 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 2 | 1 |
 Tim StapletonATL | 19 | 13:31 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Mike GrierBUF | 20 | 13:26 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 1 | 4 |
 Mark MancariBUF | 18 | 13:22 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 4 |
 Mark StuartATL | 21 | 13:19 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 17 | 12:42 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 16 | 11:02 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 14 | 10:41 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander BurmistrovATL | 15 | 10:40 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Anthony StewartATL | 17 | 10:38 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Eric BoultonATL | 15 | 9:34 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |