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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 6:32Goal by Lecavalier (Thompson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Hale, Foligno, Smith · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Thompson, Purcell

  3. P1 6:45Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 6:47Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 8:59Butler: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Butler · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Lundin, Purcell

  6. P1 10:56Shot by Bergeron, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 11:22Shot by Bergenheim, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 11:26Shot by Bergenheim, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 11:27Shot by Jones, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 11:47Neil: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Hale, Foligno, Smith · TBL Ohlund, Kubina, Hall, Jones, Tyrell

  11. P1 13:10Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney4v5
  12. P1 14:36Shot by Lundin, saved by McElhinney
  13. P1 14:48Shot by Purcell, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 14:56Shot by Jones, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 15:46Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 16:55Shot by Bergenheim, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 17:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 19:32Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 19:39Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson
  23. P2 1:51Shot by Hedman, saved by McElhinney
  24. P2 2:03Shot by Condra, saved by Roloson
  25. P2 2:11Shot by Purcell, saved by McElhinney
  26. P2 2:24Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  27. P2 3:25Shot by Butler, saved by Roloson
  28. P2 3:29Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson
  29. P2 5:45Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney
  30. P2 5:51Shot by Thompson, saved by McElhinney
  31. P2 6:37Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  32. P2 7:42Goal by Tyrell (Bergenheim)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Wick, Karlsson · TBL Clark, Hall, Bergenheim, Lundin, Tyrell

  33. P2 8:00Shot by Smith, saved by Roloson
  34. P2 8:14Lundin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Lundin, Purcell

  35. P2 8:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson5v4
  36. P2 10:33Shot by Kubina, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 12:54Shot by Hedman, saved by McElhinney
  38. P2 15:03Shot by Jones, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 17:21Shot by Purcell, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 18:31Shot by Shannon, saved by Roloson
  41. P2 19:45Brewer: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Lee, Greening, Butler · TBL Brewer, Moore, Bergenheim, Lundin, Tyrell

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 3:16Shot by Brewer, saved by McElhinney
  45. P3 4:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  46. P3 4:17Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  47. P3 5:38Shot by Hale, saved by Roloson
  48. P3 5:42Shot by Jones, saved by McElhinney
  49. P3 6:26Shot by Wick, saved by Roloson
  50. P3 6:32Shot by Wick, saved by Roloson
  51. P3 7:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney
  52. P3 8:20Shot by Shannon, saved by Roloson
  53. P3 8:36Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney
  54. P3 9:35Shot by Hale, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 10:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney
  56. P3 10:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by McElhinney
  57. P3 10:41Svatos: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Svatos, Wick, Winchester, Karlsson · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Stamkos, Hedman

  58. P3 11:23Shot by Phillips, saved by Roloson4v5
  59. P3 12:27Goal by Shannon (Condra, Karlsson)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Shannon, Lee, Condra, Karlsson · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman

  60. P3 13:23Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 14:07Shot by Kuba, saved by Roloson
  62. P3 14:23Shot by Purcell, saved by McElhinney
  63. P3 14:31Shot by Svatos, saved by Roloson
  64. P3 15:35Shot by Greening, saved by Roloson
  65. P3 15:49Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson
  66. P3 15:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Roloson
  67. P3 16:05Goal by Foligno (Smith, Neil)+39 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Thompson, Lundin, Stamkos

  68. P3 16:17Shot by Shannon, saved by Roloson
  69. P3 17:50Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson
  70. P3 17:52Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson
  71. P3 18:39Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney
  72. P3 18:56Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 0:31Shot by Greening, saved by Roloson4v4
  76. OT 1:50Shot by Condra, saved by Roloson4v4
  77. OT 1:58Shot by Purcell, saved by McElhinney4v4
  78. OT 2:07Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson4v4
  79. OT 2:37Shot by Bergeron, saved by McElhinney4v4
  80. OT 2:41Shot by Lundin, saved by McElhinney4v4
  81. OT 2:59Shot by Moore, saved by McElhinney4v4
  82. OT 3:14Shot by Lecavalier, saved by McElhinney4v4
  83. OT 3:28Goal by Spezza (Karlsson)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson · TBL Kubina, Lecavalier, Purcell, Hedman

  84. OT 3:28Period end
  85. OT 3:28Final