Sat, Mar 19, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
45%
9%
39%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lecavalier–Thompson–Purcell | St. Louis–Moore–Stamkos | Hall–Bergenheim–Tyrell | Moore–Bergenheim–Tyrell | St. Louis–Hall–Stamkos | Lecavalier–Hall–Thompson | Moore–Ritola–Jones | Brewer–Lundin | Kubina–Hedman | Ohlund–Clark | Bergeron–Lundin | Brewer–Hedman | Bergeron–Hedman | Ohlund–Brewer | Kubina–Brewer | Brewer–Bergeron | Ohlund–Bergeron | Clark–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezza–Greening–Butler | 2:030.01–0.34 | 2:430.17–0.46 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:270.19–0.00 | 5:540.30–0.82 | 0:480.20–0.02 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Neil–Foligno–Smith | 2:300.31–0.31 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:190.29–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.15 | 3:010.04–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:360.24–0.00 | |||||||||
| Svatos–Shannon–Condra | 0:370.05–0.04 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.01 | 2:500.05–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Shannon–Condra–Winchester | 0:540.02–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Neil–Foligno–Winchester | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||||||
| Spezza–Wick–Condra | 0:330.00–0.15 | 0:320.00–0.20 | 0:420.00–0.15 | |||||||||||||||
| Neil–Smith–Winchester | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:030.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Spezza–Condra–Butler | 0:300.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| Lessard–Spezza–Wick | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lessard–Wick–Winchester | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Spezza–Wick–Butler | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Svatos–Wick–Winchester | 0:480.52–0.00 | 0:300.52–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Kuba–Karlsson | 3:550.63–0.16 | 1:170.05–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.13 | 1:010.11–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:380.29–0.19 | 2:210.20–0.00 | 4:230.09–0.05 | 1:010.52–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:480.02–0.04 | ||||||
| Phillips–Lee | 1:420.00–0.15 | 4:460.17–0.46 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 4:450.17–0.46 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.15 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Gonchar–Hale | 1:170.00–0.04 | 1:200.10–0.01 | 3:060.03–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hale–Karlsson | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.01 | 0:460.01–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:340.09–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Phillips–Karlsson | 0:480.00–0.41 | 0:340.00–0.20 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.26 | 0:590.10–0.20 | |||||||||||||
| Kuba–Phillips | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Kuba–Hale | 0:590.00–0.05 | 0:400.19–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||
| Hale–Lee | 0:500.05–0.00 | 0:570.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Lee–Karlsson | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.05 | ||||||||||||||||
| Phillips–Hale | 0:450.24–0.00 | 0:390.24–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Kuba–Lee | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 32 | 31:14 | 0:59 | 1:59 | 7 | 0 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 30 | 27:06 | 0:54 | 2:29 | 6 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 29 | 26:05 | 0:54 | 1:59 | 4 | 3 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 27 | 24:14 | 0:54 | 2:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 30 | 23:04 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 1 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 22:16 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 2 | 8 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 26 | 21:23 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 3 | 2 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 28 | 20:36 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 8 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 23 | 20:26 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 3 | 6 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 25 | 20:20 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 4 | 3 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 28 | 20:17 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 25 | 19:58 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 4 | 6 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 3 | 6 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 23 | 19:35 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 2 | 3 |
 Mike LundinTBL | 30 | 19:20 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 0 | 4 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 25 | 18:28 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 22 | 18:20 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Adam HallTBL | 30 | 17:35 | 0:35 | 1:13 | 3 | 5 |
 Mattias OhlundTBL | 28 | 17:06 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 0 | 4 |
 David HaleOTT | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 21 | 16:51 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Sean BergenheimTBL | 24 | 16:47 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 25 | 16:23 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 23 | 15:37 | 0:41 | 2:02 | 7 | 2 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 24 | 15:26 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 8 | 2 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 21 | 14:37 | 0:42 | 2:02 | 7 | 2 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 22 | 12:28 | 0:34 | 0:55 | 3 | 3 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 20 | 12:18 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 4 | 3 |
 Marek SvatosOTT | 18 | 11:02 | 0:37 | 0:51 | 3 | 0 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 15 | 10:56 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 Roman WickOTT | 13 | 10:08 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Blair JonesTBL | 13 | 9:05 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Mattias RitolaTBL | 11 | 8:22 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 10 | 7:03 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Francis LessardOTT | 3 | 2:30 | 0:50 | 1:09 | 0 | 0 |