Sat, Mar 19, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
45%
9%
39%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.04 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.07 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:23 | 0.48 | 46.9% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.14 | 42.6% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:26 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:17 | 0.69 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.58 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:35 | 0.36 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.08 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.42 | 78.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.06 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.13 | 75.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.05 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:05 | 0.16 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.45 | +0.5 | 63:28 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 31:14 | 0.30 | 49.9% | +63.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:06 | 0.11 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:05 | 0.47 | 31.4% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:14 | 0.05 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:58 | 0.46 | 40.6% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.48 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.07 | 29.2% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.05 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.09 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:37 | 0.58 | 65.2% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.09 | 57.5% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 53.7% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 0.08 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.04 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.57 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.27 | +1.3 | 63:28 |