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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Ottawa Senators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 80% of the time.

CAR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward
  3. P1 3:02Karlsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Pitkanen, Dwyer, Bowman, Samson · OTT Lessard, Hale, Wick, Winchester, Karlsson

  4. P1 3:25Shot by Cole, saved by McElhinney5v4
  5. P1 3:27Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney5v4
  6. P1 3:58Stillman: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Gleason, Staal, Joslin · OTT Phillips, Lee, Condra, Smith

  7. P1 4:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward4v4
  8. P1 4:28Shot by Ruutu, saved by McElhinney4v4
  9. P1 6:46Shot by Neil, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:55Shot by Phillips, saved by Ward
  11. P1 7:53Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward
  12. P1 7:56Goal by Greening (Spezza, Butler)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Tlusty, Sutter · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Greening, Wiercioch, Butler

  13. P1 8:19Shot by Lee, saved by Ward
  14. P1 13:16Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 13:38Shot by Svatos, saved by Ward
  16. P1 13:40Goal by Svatos (Condra, Hale)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Skinner · OTT Hale, Svatos, Shannon, Condra, Karlsson

  17. P1 14:07Goal by Ruutu (Jokinen, Skinner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Jokinen, Joslin, Skinner · OTT Hale, Svatos, Shannon, Condra, Karlsson

  18. P1 14:32Goal by LaRose (Pitkanen)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Pitkanen, Sutter, Bowman · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Wiercioch

  19. P1 17:52Shot by Ruutu, saved by McElhinney
  20. P1 18:32Corvo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Lee, Greening, Butler

  21. P1 18:51Kuba: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Allen, Cole, Staal, Joslin · OTT Kuba, Svatos, Shannon, Condra, Karlsson

  22. P1 18:33Shot by Condra, saved by Ward4v5
  23. P1 19:54Pitkanen: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Cole, Harrison, Pitkanen, Staal · OTT Spezza, Shannon, Lee, Karlsson

  24. P1 19:59Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward3v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:41Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward4v4
  28. P2 1:03Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward4v5
  29. P2 1:21Shot by Smith, saved by Ward4v5
  30. P2 1:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward4v5
  31. P2 2:39Shot by Neil, saved by Ward
  32. P2 2:45Shot by Neil, saved by Ward
  33. P2 4:03Shot by Hale, saved by Ward
  34. P2 5:11Shot by Dwyer, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 5:23Shot by Joslin, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 5:31Shot by Samson, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 5:33Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Dwyer, Joslin, Tlusty, Samson · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Wiercioch

  38. P2 5:38Shot by Pitkanen, saved by McElhinney5v4
  39. P2 6:13Shot by Ruutu, saved by McElhinney5v4
  40. P2 8:33Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Jokinen, Dwyer, Joslin, Skinner · OTT Neil, Hale, Foligno, Winchester, Wiercioch

  41. P2 8:49Shot by Ruutu, saved by McElhinney5v4
  42. P2 9:56Shot by Smith, saved by Ward5v4
  43. P2 10:30Shot by Sutter, saved by McElhinney5v4
  44. P2 11:00Shot by Neil, saved by Ward
  45. P2 11:24Shot by Greening, saved by Ward
  46. P2 12:20Shot by Stillman, saved by McElhinney
  47. P2 13:21Shot by Winchester, saved by Ward
  48. P2 13:29Shot by Greening, saved by Ward
  49. P2 13:36Allen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Jokinen, Joslin, Skinner · OTT Neil, Hale, Greening, Winchester, Karlsson

  50. P2 13:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward4v5
  51. P2 14:03Shot by Condra, saved by Ward4v5
  52. P2 14:19Shot by Kuba, saved by Ward4v5
  53. P2 14:44Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward4v5
  54. P2 15:10Shot by Cole, saved by McElhinney4v5
  55. P2 16:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  56. P2 16:55Shot by Svatos, saved by Ward
  57. P2 18:17Goal by LaRose (Sutter, Gleason)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Skinner · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Wick, Wiercioch, Butler

  58. P2 18:44Shot by Bowman, saved by McElhinney
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:40Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward
  62. P3 6:04Goal by Stillman (Staal, Cole)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Gleason, Harrison, Staal · OTT Kuba, Svatos, Wick, Smith, Wiercioch

  63. P3 6:52Shot by Neil, saved by Ward
  64. P3 7:47Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney
  65. P3 10:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  66. P3 10:26Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  67. P3 10:59Shot by Corvo, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 11:12Shot by Corvo, saved by McElhinney
  69. P3 11:14Shot by Skinner, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 14:16Goal by Karlsson (Spezza, Foligno)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Skinner · OTT Phillips, Neil, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson

  71. P3 17:08Shot by Kuba, saved by Ward
  72. P3 17:12Shot by Kuba, saved by Ward
  73. P3 17:33Shot by Corvo, saved by McElhinney
  74. P3 18:06Shot by Svatos, saved by Ward
  75. P3 19:22Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 19:59Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward5v6
  78. P3 0:00Final