Tue, Mar 22, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh
Ottawa Senators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 80% of the time.
14%
74%
CAR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Svatos–Shannon–Condra | Neil–Greening–Winchester | Spezza–Foligno–Butler | Neil–Foligno–Smith | Spezza–Greening–Butler | Lessard–Wick–Winchester | Svatos–Wick–Smith | Spezza–Wick–Butler | Neil–Spezza–Greening | Spezza–Foligno–Smith | Neil–Shannon–Greening | Phillips–Lee | Hale–Karlsson | Kuba–Wiercioch | Kuba–Karlsson | Phillips–Karlsson | Kuba–Hale | Lee–Karlsson | Kuba–Lee | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruutu–Jokinen–Skinner | 3:130.08–0.45 | 2:040.08–0.21 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:340.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.13 | 5:330.10–0.55 | 0:550.06–0.00 | 1:510.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stillman–Cole–Staal | 2:000.00–0.01 | 1:590.00–0.06 | 1:240.09–0.07 | 1:310.00–0.02 | 1:440.15–0.00 | 5:280.15–0.04 | 1:290.09–0.09 | 0:430.10–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| LaRose–Sutter–Bowman | 0:590.03–0.00 | 2:330.02–0.03 | 0:390.02–0.13 | 0:410.00–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:400.09–0.16 | 1:530.00–0.06 | 2:040.07–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Stillman–Cole–Dwyer | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.12 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.12 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Dwyer–Tlusty–Samson | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:460.09–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:380.09–0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| LaRose–Tlusty–Sutter | 1:060.00–0.60 | 0:400.00–0.60 | |||||||||||||||||
| Stillman–Jokinen–Staal | 0:470.00–0.33 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allen–Joslin | 3:520.06–0.03 | 2:220.00–0.19 | 1:380.09–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.09 | 3:030.03–0.15 | 3:320.10–0.12 | 1:590.09–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Corvo–Pitkanen | 3:490.10–0.06 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.35 | 2:430.10–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Corvo–Gleason | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 3:560.19–0.73 | 0:410.00–0.06 | 3:170.19–0.13 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 2:380.14–0.60 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gleason–Harrison | 3:470.11–0.62 | 0:470.09–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:160.02–0.00 | 2:560.09–0.11 | 0:370.19–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.12 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Harrison–Pitkanen | 2:210.00–0.38 | 1:430.05–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:490.00–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.39 | 0:510.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pitkanen–Joslin | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Allen–Harrison | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CAROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 28 | 28:34 | 1:01 | 2:37 | 6 | 4 |
 Joe CorvoCAR | 25 | 23:36 | 0:57 | 1:32 | 4 | 5 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 26 | 23:05 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 4 | 4 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 25 | 22:40 | 0:54 | 2:09 | 3 | 4 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 34 | 22:40 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 6 | 5 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 28 | 21:32 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 6 | 3 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 28 | 20:35 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Joni PitkanenCAR | 26 | 20:31 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Erik ColeCAR | 29 | 19:55 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 4 | 7 |
 Cory StillmanCAR | 24 | 19:39 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 26 | 19:32 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 8 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 23 | 18:48 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 22 | 18:33 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 5 | 3 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 28 | 18:31 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Derek JoslinCAR | 22 | 18:17 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 4 | 4 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 24 | 17:34 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 5 | 7 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 23 | 17:32 | 0:46 | 2:10 | 5 | 4 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 23 | 17:30 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 6 | 4 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 21 | 17:03 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 21 | 16:55 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 24 | 16:54 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 8 | 0 |
 David HaleOTT | 20 | 16:12 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 6 | 1 |
 Bryan AllenCAR | 20 | 16:01 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Chad LaRoseCAR | 22 | 15:52 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Brandon SutterCAR | 23 | 15:08 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 20 | 14:06 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 16 | 13:29 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Marek SvatosOTT | 20 | 12:57 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 10 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 18 | 12:44 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 15 | 10:31 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 0 | 2 |
 Drayson BowmanCAR | 17 | 10:17 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 15 | 9:23 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Roman WickOTT | 8 | 6:00 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 8 | 5:16 | 0:40 | 0:56 | 0 | 1 |
 Jerome SamsonCAR | 9 | 4:37 | 0:31 | 0:51 | 0 | 1 |
 Francis LessardOTT | 4 | 2:10 | 0:33 | 0:45 | 0 | 0 |