Thu, Mar 24, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 57% of the time.
48%
9%
11%
32%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.00 | 31.5% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 24:20 | 0.04 | 86.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:13 | 0.02 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:43 | 0.07 | 64.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.20 | 75.4% | +15.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.35 | 77.7% | +37.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.20 | 47.0% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.14 | 45.6% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.13 | 49.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.08 | 75.6% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.05 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.21 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.53 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.01 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.02 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.51 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 25:24 | 0.03 | 58.2% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.01 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.41 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.02 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 4.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 19:13 | 0.23 | 25.1% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.33 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.24 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.05 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.66 | 87.0% | +24.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.06 | 27.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.09 | 58.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.14 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.08 | 18.4% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.11 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:46 | 0.04 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| – | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.85 | −1.2 | 54:56 | |
| L | 1 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.20 | −0.8 | 3:47 |