Fri, Mar 25, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:13Lecavalier: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman
- P1 0:23Shot by Stillman, saved by Roloson4v5
- P1 0:27Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson4v5
- P1 1:49Skinner: Holding (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, Hall, Bergenheim · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Joslin, Skinner
- P1 1:53Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward4v4
- P1 2:56Shot by LaRose, saved by Roloson5v4
- P1 3:30Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward5v4
- P1 4:16Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
- P1 4:22Shot by Cole, saved by Roloson
- P1 5:00Shot by Samson, saved by Roloson
- P1 5:53Harrison: Roughing (2 min)6v5
On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, Lecavalier, Gagne, Moore, Bergenheim · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, Jokinen, Skinner
- P1 6:03Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson5v4
- P1 6:24Shot by Dwyer, saved by Roloson5v4
- P1 7:11Goal by Gagne (St. Louis, Lecavalier)5v4+15 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Stamkos · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose
- P1 8:32Shot by Ohlund, saved by Ward
- P1 8:46Shot by Bowman, saved by Roloson
- P1 8:53Shot by LaRose, saved by Roloson
- P1 9:37Harrison: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman
- P1 9:37Downie: Slashing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman
- P1 12:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
- P1 12:52Goal by Skinner (Ruutu, Pitkanen)+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kubina, Hall, Jones, Tyrell, Hedman · CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Joslin, Skinner
- P1 13:05Shot by Dwyer, saved by Roloson
- P1 13:11Shot by Dwyer, saved by Roloson
- P1 13:15Shot by Tlusty, saved by Roloson
- P1 14:28Shot by Bowman, saved by Roloson
- P1 14:56Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson
- P1 16:26Shot by Samson, saved by Roloson
- P1 17:53Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:23Shot by Stillman, saved by Roloson
- P2 1:56Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Roloson
- P2 1:56Roloson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Gagne, Thompson, Lundin, Purcell · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal
- P2 2:35Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Ward4v5
- P2 3:21Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson4v5
- P2 7:52Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman
- P2 8:23Goal by Cole (Stillman, Staal)4v5+22 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, Moore, Bergenheim, Lundin · CAR Stillman, Cole, Gleason, Staal, Joslin
- P2 9:32Hedman: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Joslin, Skinner
- P2 10:21Shot by Corvo, saved by Roloson4v5
- P2 11:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Roloson
- P2 12:52Harrison: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Dwyer, Tlusty, Samson
- P2 13:23Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward5v4
- P2 17:55Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
- P2 18:41Shot by Corvo, saved by Roloson
- P2 19:14Shot by Ruutu, saved by Roloson
- P2 19:17Bergenheim: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Ohlund, Moore, Bergenheim, Downie, Hedman · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, Jokinen, Skinner
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:08Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 1:55Shot by Bowman, saved by Roloson
- P3 2:15Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson
- P3 2:17Shot by Joslin, saved by Roloson
- P3 4:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Roloson
- P3 4:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Roloson
- P3 6:09Shot by Samson, saved by Roloson
- P3 6:44Shot by Corvo, saved by Roloson
- P3 6:50Goal by Cole, unassisted+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, Moore, Thompson, Lundin, Jones · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal
- P3 8:25Shot by Tlusty, saved by Roloson
- P3 9:14Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson
- P3 10:02Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson
- P3 10:56Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Skinner
- P3 10:56Downie: Misconduct (10 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Skinner
- P3 12:18Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson4v5
- P3 12:20Goal by Staal (Corvo, Pitkanen)4v5+2 pts WP
On ice: TBL Moore, Lundin, Tyrell, Hedman · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal
- P3 13:17Goal by Lecavalier (Hedman)+2 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Gleason, Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman
- P3 14:00Joslin: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: TBL Kubina, Hall, Thompson, Tyrell, Hedman · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Jokinen, Joslin, Skinner
- P3 14:07Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward5v4
- P3 14:09Goal by Gagne (St. Louis, Clark)5v4+9 pts WP
On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Stamkos · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Dwyer, Sutter
- P3 14:40Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
- P3 14:44Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
- P3 14:46Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
- P3 14:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
- P3 16:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
- P3 16:24Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Ward
- P3 16:32Shot by Cole, saved by Roloson
- P3 17:20Allen: Boarding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Gagne, Moore, Purcell · CAR Allen, LaRose, Joslin, Sutter, Bowman
- P3 18:01Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward5v4
- P3 18:40Shot by Moore, saved by Ward5v4
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final