Fri, Mar 25, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
10%
60%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Joe CorvoD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:25 | 0.05 | 38.6% | +2.0 |
 Joni PitkanenD · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.06 | 45.4% | +18.3 |
 Tim GleasonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 21:04 | 0.84 | 42.9% | +24.3 |
 Erik ColeLW · #26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.53 | 53.6% | +35.1 |
 Derek JoslinD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.03 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Jussi JokinenLW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Cory StillmanLW · #61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.10 | 65.0% | +22.3 |
 Bryan AllenD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Brandon SutterC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.36 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
 Chad LaRoseRW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.09 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Jay HarrisonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.02 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:27 | 0.28 | 50.0% | +16.3 |
 Tuomo RuutuLW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.09 | 85.6% | +16.3 |
 Drayson BowmanLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:07 | 0.05 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Patrick DwyerRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:39 | 0.05 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Jiri TlustyLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:06 | 0.03 | 94.6% | 0.0 |
 Jerome SamsonRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:32 | 0.36 | 94.2% | 0.0 |
 Cam Ward#30 | W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.94 | −1.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.18 | 67.1% | +23.6 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:18 | 0.05 | 28.6% | +1.8 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.01 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Mike LundinD · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.22 | 68.5% | 0.0 |
 Vincent LecavalierC · #4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.26 | 54.2% | +16.3 |
 Pavel KubinaD · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon GagneLW · #12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.61 | 48.1% | +23.6 |
 Dominic MooreC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.11 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
 Mattias OhlundD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.01 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Brett ClarkD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 59.7% | +9.1 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.07 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.10 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Adam HallRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.11 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
 Steve DownieRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.13 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
 Dana TyrellC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
 Sean BergenheimLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:13 | 0.09 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Blair JonesC · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:59 | 0.00 | 3.0% | 0.0 |
 Dwayne Roloson#35 | L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 2.92 | −1.1 | 59:21 |