Fri, Mar 25, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
10%
60%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| LaRose–Sutter–Bowman | Ruutu–Jokinen–Skinner | Stillman–Cole–Staal | Dwyer–Tlusty–Samson | Gleason–Harrison | Corvo–Pitkanen | Allen–Joslin | Pitkanen–Joslin | Corvo–Allen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos | 3:510.04–0.10 | 2:410.00–0.09 | 4:530.04–0.19 | 2:470.23–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.02 | ||||
| Lecavalier–Thompson–Purcell | 0:450.00–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 1:300.00–0.09 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:360.01–0.02 | |||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 0:580.08–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:380.20–0.00 | 1:320.08–0.00 | 0:570.20–0.00 | ||||
| Hall–Jones–Tyrell | 0:450.00–0.07 | 1:070.00–0.29 | 1:140.00–0.29 | 0:470.00–0.07 | |||||
| Lecavalier–Gagne–Purcell | 1:390.01–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gagne–Moore–Bergenheim | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Gagne–Thompson–Purcell | 0:550.00–0.02 | 1:070.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Thompson–Jones–Tyrell | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 1:040.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Hall–Moore–Bergenheim | 0:440.00–0.10 | 0:490.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Gagne–Moore–Jones | 0:530.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Kubina–Hedman | 4:440.08–0.23 | 4:230.02–0.16 | 1:430.05–0.04 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 4:210.09–0.14 | 3:390.05–0.05 | 4:190.07–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.09 | |
| Brewer–Lundin | 1:330.02–0.07 | 6:000.22–0.33 | 1:360.03–0.02 | 4:010.09–0.13 | 4:530.22–0.29 | 1:130.00–0.04 | |||
| Ohlund–Clark | 1:490.00–0.00 | 2:320.03–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.32 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 2:170.26–0.00 | 2:110.01–0.32 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | |
| Ohlund–Lundin | 0:470.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Clark–Brewer | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 32 | 25:25 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 7 | 6 | |
| 27 | 22:50 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 7 | 5 | |
| 22 | 21:35 | 0:59 | 2:40 | 5 | 3 | |
| 31 | 21:35 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 4 | 5 | |
| 30 | 21:18 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 7 | 5 | |
| 24 | 21:04 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 7 | 4 | |
| 28 | 20:57 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 2 | 5 | |
| 28 | 20:00 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 3 | 4 | |
| 22 | 19:53 | 0:54 | 2:40 | 5 | 4 | |
| 26 | 19:36 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 7 | 4 | |
| 20 | 19:28 | 0:58 | 2:40 | 4 | 3 | |
| 29 | 19:07 | 0:40 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 | |
| 24 | 18:13 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 5 | 3 | |
| 26 | 18:13 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 17:16 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 7 | 3 | |
| 19 | 16:43 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 5 | 2 | |
| 29 | 16:43 | 0:35 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 | |
| 24 | 16:40 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 2 | 8 | |
| 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 | |
| 23 | 16:29 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 | |
| 26 | 16:23 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 1 | 6 | |
| 24 | 16:13 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 5 | |
| 24 | 16:01 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 | |
| 24 | 15:57 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 3 | 4 | |
| 22 | 14:27 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 | |
| 17 | 12:39 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 12:28 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 5 | 3 | |
| 23 | 12:26 | 0:32 | 0:56 | 2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 12:25 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 3 | 4 | |
| 19 | 12:07 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 1 | 3 | |
| 19 | 12:02 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 4 | 3 | |
| 17 | 9:39 | 0:34 | 0:56 | 2 | 4 | |
| 17 | 9:13 | 0:33 | 1:13 | 1 | 4 | |
| 9 | 6:06 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 2 | 0 | |
| 9 | 5:59 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 5:32 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 0 | 0 |